Metaculus

End of Ukraine conflict

'Maybe they will, maybe they won't': Trump voices doubt over Zelenskyy-Putin talks

Townhall

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China Resists Russian Pressure to Offer ‘Security Guarantees’ to Ukraine

Reuters

Us Nato Planners Start Craft Ukraine Security Guarantee Options 2025 08 19

Guardian

European leaders discuss Ukraine security guarantees after Trump talks

MINT

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Us Russian Officials Discussed Energy Deals Alongside Latest Ukraine Peace Talks 2025 08 26

India Today

Witkoff to meet Ukrainian officials in New York as US talks with Russia continue

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Ukrainska Pravda

US prepared to provide "strategic enablers" to European peacekeepers in Ukraine  FT

U584

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NATO Ally Finds Exploded Ukrainian Attack Drone, Blames Russia

Donald Trump

Karoline Leavitt

Piers Morgan

Steven Pifer

OLBG

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 Marlin Stutzman 

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Scott Dworkin

"They will never give me a Nobel Peace Prize."

"Trump did not win a Nobel Peace Prize. And never will."

"If it [Nobel Peace Prize] were fairly awarded, I think in a year, he [Trump] should get it from what I've seen."

"He might even win the Nobel Peace Prize he covets."

“President Trump, I believe, for that work [efforts to stop wars] is going to win the Nobel Peace Prize.”

"My prediction, for what it's worth, is that Trump ultimately, probably in two years' time, wins a Nobel Peace Prize."

This year "could finally be the year in which he is awarded the prize."

Will Trump Win A Nobel Peace Prize?

Vladimir Putin

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Dmitry Peskov

Marco Rubio

Lindsey Graham

J.D. Vance

Petro Poroshenko

Vitali Klitschko

Kyiv International Institute of Sociology

Ihor Reiterovych

Ben Rhodes

"Ukrainians will not give their land to the occupier."

"It is impossible. Russia has never discussed and will not discuss the topic of exchanging its territory."

"Ukraine is not going to evict every Russian, and Russia is not going to Kyiv, so there will be some land swaps at the end."

"Ukraine is going to have to cede some territory to the Russians."

"There'll be some swapping of territories to the betterment of both [Ukraine and Russia]."

Will Zelenskyy Swap Territory/Cede Land to End the War?

As the U.S., European allies and Ukraine continued to craft the latter's post-war security guarantees, the U.S. told partners it's prepared to offer air support and intelligence assets to take part in the arrangements, the Financial Times reported on Tuesday.

www.ft.com

As the U.S., European allies and Ukraine continued to craft the latter's post-war security guarantees, the U.S. told partners it's prepared to offer air support and intelligence assets to take part in the arrangements, the Financial Times reported on Tuesday.

The publication, citing four European and Ukrainian sources with knowledge of the discussions, said senior U.S. officials told partners that Washington was ready to provide "strategic enablers" including intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance; command and control of European boots on the ground; as well as aircraft to enforce a no-fly zone and sky shield.

The publication, citing four European and Ukrainian sources with knowledge of the discussions, said senior U.S. officials told partners that Washington was ready to provide "strategic enablers" including intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance; command and control of European boots on the ground; as well as aircraft to enforce a no-fly zone and sky shield.

However, it was warned that plans were contingent on European capitals deploying "tens of thousands of troops" to Ukraine and that they could still change or be withdrawn.

However, it was warned that plans were contingent on European capitals deploying "tens of thousands of troops" to Ukraine and that they could still change or be withdrawn.

It was also unclear whether <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.verity.news/story/2025/kremlin-russia-and-china-should-be-involved-in-ukraines-security-guarantees">Russia, which has called to be involved in the drafting of security arrangements</a>, would accept the plans given it had previously rejected the prospect of troops from NATO countries in Ukraine on a number of occasions.

It was also unclear whether Russia, which has called to be involved in the drafting of security arrangements, would accept the plans given it had previously rejected the prospect of troops from NATO countries in Ukraine on a number of occasions.

Meanwhile, U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff told Fox News on Tuesday that "we talk to the Russians every day," adding that he believed Russian President Vladimir Putin "has made a good faith effort to engage." He added that he would be meeting a Ukrainian delegation in New York this week.

Meanwhile, U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff told Fox News on Tuesday that "we talk to the Russians every day," adding that he believed Russian President Vladimir Putin "has made a good faith effort to engage." He added that he would be meeting a Ukrainian delegation in New York this week.

Elsewhere, it was reported on Tuesday that during <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.verity.news/story/2025/alaska-summit-trump-says-great-progress-made-with-putin">Putin's meeting with U.S. President Donald Trump in Alaska</a> earlier in the month, the pair discussed possible energy deals, including Exxon's potential return to Russia, to incentivize the country to make peace agreements.

Elsewhere, it was reported on Tuesday that during Putin's meeting with U.S. President Donald Trump in Alaska earlier in the month, the pair discussed possible energy deals, including Exxon's potential return to Russia, to incentivize the country to make peace agreements.

The U.S. continues to engage in meaningful dialogue with both Russia and Ukraine about ending the war. Because of this, there's a good chance of a meeting between the leaders of the countries in the coming weeks, as well as a wider end of the conflict by the end of the year.

The U.S. continues to engage in meaningful dialogue with both Russia and Ukraine about ending the war. Because of this, there's a good chance of a meeting between the leaders of the countries in the coming weeks, as well as a wider end of the conflict by the end of the year.

While the U.S. is promising to back up European security guarantees with intelligence and air support, these plans are doomed to fail as Russian officials have repeatedly ruled out U.S. participation in the arrangements, as well as the presence of any NATO country's troops in Ukraine.

While the U.S. is promising to back up European security guarantees with intelligence and air support, these plans are doomed to fail as Russian officials have repeatedly ruled out U.S. participation in the arrangements, as well as the presence of any NATO country's troops in Ukraine.

There's a 50% chance there will be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine by August 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

There's a 50% chance there will be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine by August 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Report: US Offers Air Support and Intelligence to Police Ukraine's Post-War Security

Bernd von Jutrczenka/picture alliance/Getty Images

Report: US Offers Air Support and Intelligence to Police Ukraine's Post-War Security

Report: US Offers Air Support and Intelligence to Police Ukraine's Post-War Security

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Report: US Offers Air Support and Intelligence to Police Ukraine's Post-War Security

The Spin

Metaculus Prediction

The Controversies

Trump

Dworkin

Bessent

Pifer

Burgum

Morgan

OLBG

Zelenskyy

Peskov

Graham

Vance

Trump

Go Deeper

Articles on this story

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