Metaculus

What will be the average number of noncitizens removed from the United States for fiscal years 2026 through 2028?

Guardian

Trump’s ‘Alligator Alcatraz’ reveals the ongoing cruelty towards migrants in US

Judge rules 'Alligator Alcatraz' can stay open for now, but no further detainees or construction are allowed

Independent

Judge orders closure of Trump’s Florida ‘Alligator Alcatraz’ immigration center

‘Alligator Alcatraz’ civil rights case sees split ruling from Miami judge

Alligator Alcatraz: Judge dismisses part of lawsuit over immigration detention center

‘Alligator Alcatraz’ detainees face abuse and are denied due process, say lawyers

Attorneys of ‘Alligator Alcatraz’ detainees appear in federal court over access to legal counsel

Advocates demand closure of ‘Alligator Alcatraz’, citing appalling conditions

Daily Wire

Obama-Appointed Judge Orders Alligator Alcatraz To Shut Down Within 60 Days

US judge orders dismantling of Trump's 'Alligator Alcatraz'

World Heritage Reports

Unesco

Everglades National Park

Bloomberglaw

Alligator Alcatraz Expansion Blocked As Harmful To Environmen

Tampa Bay Times

Federal judge orders Alligator Alcatraz shut down in 60 days

Judge orders Trump to wind down 'Alligator Alcatraz' operations

BBC News

'Alligator Alcatraz': Judge orders closure of Trump's migrant detention centre

FOX News

Federal Judge Blocks Florida From Further Expansion Alligator Alcatraz Immigration Detention Facilit

USA Today

Federal judge bars transfer of new detainees to Florida's 'Alligator Alcatraz

Florida must stop expanding 'Alligator Alcatraz' immigration center, judge says

A U.S. federal judge on Thursday ordered the Trump administration to halt construction, stop bringing in new detainees and effectively wind down operations at the mass detention center at the Big Cypress National Preserve in the middle of Florida's Everglades.

A U.S. federal judge on Thursday ordered the Trump administration to halt construction, stop bringing in new detainees and effectively wind down operations at the mass detention center at the Big Cypress National Preserve in the middle of Florida's Everglades.

The site — dubbed "Alligator Alcatraz" — has faced criticism over conditions and lawsuits over civil rights concerns, and the order follows a suit brought by Friends of the Everglades, the Center for Biological Diversity and the Miccosukee Tribe of Indians over environmental concerns.

Daily Mail

The site — dubbed "Alligator Alcatraz" — has faced criticism over conditions and lawsuits over civil rights concerns, and the order follows a suit brought by Friends of the Everglades, the Center for Biological Diversity and the Miccosukee Tribe of Indians over environmental concerns.

The 82-page ruling from U.S. District Judge Kathleen Williams stated that the federal government and the state of Florida violated the National Environmental Policy Act in constructing the site without conducting the relevant environmental reviews.

Everglades

The 82-page ruling from U.S. District Judge Kathleen Williams stated that the federal government and the state of Florida violated the National Environmental Policy Act in constructing the site without conducting the relevant environmental reviews.

The Everglades are a designated UNESCO World Heritage site and house a number of rare and endangered species, including the Florida Panther, the snail kite and the manatee.

The Everglades are a designated UNESCO World Heritage site and house a number of rare and endangered species, including the Florida Panther, the snail kite and the manatee.

In addition to banning additional construction and new detainees, the order gave the defendants 60 days to remove all temporary fencing, outdoor lighting fixtures and "all generators, gas, sewage, and other waste and waste receptacles that were installed to support this project."

New York Post

In addition to banning additional construction and new detainees, the order gave the defendants 60 days to remove all temporary fencing, outdoor lighting fixtures and "all generators, gas, sewage, and other waste and waste receptacles that were installed to support this project."

Florida officials, including Gov. Ron DeSantis, have announced the state will appeal the ruling, citing another case regarding the detention center where a different judge ruled that Florida's Southern District didn't have jurisdiction given the site's location in Collier County.

Florida officials, including Gov. Ron DeSantis, have announced the state will appeal the ruling, citing another case regarding the detention center where a different judge ruled that Florida's Southern District didn't have jurisdiction given the site's location in Collier County.

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A U.S. federal judge ordered the Trump administration to halt construction, stop bringing in new detainees and effectively wind down operations at the mass detention center at the Big Cypress National Preserve in the middle of Florida's Everglades — dubbed "Alligator Alcatraz" — on Thursday.

A U.S. federal judge ordered the Trump administration to halt construction, stop bringing in new detainees and effectively wind down operations at the mass detention center at the Big Cypress National Preserve in the middle of Florida's Everglades — dubbed "Alligator Alcatraz" — on Thursday.

While the site has faced criticism over its conditions and is subject to lawsuits over civil rights concerns, Thursday's order followed a suit brought by Friends of the Everglades, the Center for Biological Diversity and the Miccosukee Tribe of Indians over environmental concerns.

PBS NewsHour

PBS NewsHour #4823

While the site has faced criticism over its conditions and is subject to lawsuits over civil rights concerns, Thursday's order followed a suit brought by Friends of the Everglades, the Center for Biological Diversity and the Miccosukee Tribe of Indians over environmental concerns.

The 82-page ruling from U.S. District Judge Kathleen Williams ordering the preliminary injunction agreed with the groups in stating that the federal government and the state of Florida violated the National Environmental Policy Act in constructing the site without conducting the relevant environmental reviews.

The 82-page ruling from U.S. District Judge Kathleen Williams ordering the preliminary injunction agreed with the groups in stating that the federal government and the state of Florida violated the National Environmental Policy Act in constructing the site without conducting the relevant environmental reviews.

In addition to banning additional construction and new detainees, the court order gave the defendants 60 days to remove all temporary fencing, outdoor lighting fixtures and "all generators, gas, sewage, and other waste and waste receptacles that were installed to support this project." It essentially orders the site's closure without it being explicitly stated.

New York Post #4293

In addition to banning additional construction and new detainees, the court order gave the defendants 60 days to remove all temporary fencing, outdoor lighting fixtures and "all generators, gas, sewage, and other waste and waste receptacles that were installed to support this project." It essentially orders the site's closure without it being explicitly stated.

Florida officials, including Gov. Ron DeSantis, announced the state would appeal the ruling, citing another case regarding the detention center where another judge ruled that Florida's Southern District didn't have jurisdiction given the site's location in Collier County. In her ruling, Williams said the Southern District was the correct venue.

PBS NewsHour #3358

Florida officials, including Gov. Ron DeSantis, announced the state would appeal the ruling, citing another case regarding the detention center where another judge ruled that Florida's Southern District didn't have jurisdiction given the site's location in Collier County. In her ruling, Williams said the Southern District was the correct venue.

This is a landmark ruling for the Everglades and is a huge relief to the millions of Americans that believe this wilderness ought to be protected. It also sends a clear message to the highest rungs of the U.S. government that they cannot simply ignore environmental laws and that there are consequences for ignoring them.

This is a landmark ruling for the Everglades and is a huge relief to the millions of Americans that believe this wilderness ought to be protected. It also sends a clear message to the highest rungs of the U.S. government that they cannot simply ignore environmental laws and that there are consequences for ignoring them.

Friends of the Everglades

Judge Halts Operations at Everglades Detention Center With Preliminary Injunction

It was well known that this judge, appointed by former President Barack Obama, would overstep her authority in an attempt to overturn President Donald Trump's immigration policies, despite the huge mandate he acquired at the last election. Just this week, another judge ruled that the Southern District doesn't have jurisdiction over the site so the state is appealling and looks forward to overturning the decision.

It was well known that this judge, appointed by former President Barack Obama, would overstep her authority in an attempt to overturn President Donald Trump's immigration policies, despite the huge mandate he acquired at the last election. Just this week, another judge ruled that the Southern District doesn't have jurisdiction over the site so the state is appealling and looks forward to overturning the decision.

There is a 50% chance that the average number of noncitizens removed annually from the U.S. for fiscal years 2026 through 2028 will be at least 461,000, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

There is a 50% chance that the average number of noncitizens removed annually from the U.S. for fiscal years 2026 through 2028 will be at least 461,000, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

US Judge Orders Dismantling of 'Alligator Alcatraz' Detention Center

Joe Raedle/Getty Images

US Judge Orders Dismantling of 'Alligator Alcatraz' Detention Center

Lawsuits

Immigration & refugees

United States of America

Politics

This is a landmark ruling for the Everglades and is a huge relief to the millions of Americans who want to protect this natural environment and the myriad of species it protects. It also sends a clear message to the highest rungs of the U.S. government that they cannot simply ignore environmental law — the administration will be held accountable.

This is a landmark ruling for the Everglades and is a huge relief to the millions of Americans who want to protect this natural environment and the myriad of species it protects. It also sends a clear message to the highest rungs of the U.S. government that they cannot simply ignore environmental law — the administration will be held accountable.

Everyone had anticipated that this judge, appointed by former President Barack Obama, would overstep her authority in an attempt to overturn President Donald Trump's immigration policies, despite the huge mandate he acquired at the last election. Just this week, another judge ruled that the Southern District doesn't have jurisdiction over the site — the state will appeal to protect its use of the site to address the immigration crisis.

Everyone had anticipated that this judge, appointed by former President Barack Obama, would overstep her authority in an attempt to overturn President Donald Trump's immigration policies, despite the huge mandate he acquired at the last election. Just this week, another judge ruled that the Southern District doesn't have jurisdiction over the site — the state will appeal to protect its use of the site to address the immigration crisis.

US Judge Orders Dismantling of 'Alligator Alcatraz' Detention Center

US Judge Orders Dismantling of 'Alligator Alcatraz' Detention Center

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US Judge Orders Dismantling of 'Alligator Alcatraz' Detention Center

US Judge Orders Dismantling of 'Alligator Alcatraz' Detention Center

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