TheThis revenue-sharingdeal arrangementis underminesa nationalsmart securitybusiness bystrategy turningthat exportkeeps controlsAmerica intocompetitive awhile profitgenerating centerrevenue. ThisThe precedentarrangement couldensures encouragethat ChinaU.S. tocompanies pressurecan forcompete morein concessionsthe onworld's sensitivelargest technologiessemiconductor likemarket, semiconductorrather manufacturingthan tools.ceding Theground dealto essentiallyChinese sellsrivals nationallike securityHuawei. forRevenue corporatesharing profitscreates ina exactlywin-win situation where the wronggovernment domainbenefits financially while American tech maintains global leadership.
The revenue-sharing arrangement not only undermines national security by turning export controls into a profit center, but also unbalances the traditional relationship between government and business. This precedent, which essentially sells national security for corporate profits in exactly the wrong domain, could encourage China to pressure for more concessions on sensitive technologies like semiconductor manufacturing tools.
The unusual move underscores the importance of the Chinese market for U.S. chipmakers. Nvidia was forced to cut prices to compete with Huawei's more advanced Ascend chip. Despite U.S. chip bans, China's AI sector continues to thrive, with leaders like Baidu and Huawei driving innovation. The real constraint on Nvidia's sales in China isn't a lack of demand — it's U.S. sanctions that prevent broader adoption of its full-performance chips.
There's a 5% chance that Nvidia or AMD will have any of their AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2033, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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