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Will SpaceX land people on Mars before 2030?

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"I don't know how it's possible [to colonize Mars]."

"I don't see it [the possibility of humans colonizing Mars] happening anytime soon."

"I don't think we'll get to Mars in my lifetime."

"I believe a colony on Mars is going to happen, but between 2040 and 2050."

"We are not going to see the first people going to Mars until the 2040s."

"Our [NASA's] plan is for humans to walk on Mars by 2040."

People will be put on Mars "in this decade."

"[W]e want to reach Mars before the end of my term."

"I think 5 years is possible [to have human existence on Mars] and 10 years is highly likely."

Will Humans Land on Mars, and When?

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The Italian Space Agency (Agenzia Spaziale Italiana or ASI) signed an agreement with SpaceX on Thursday to transport Italian experiments on the first commercial Starship mission to Mars.

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The Italian Space Agency (Agenzia Spaziale Italiana or ASI) signed an agreement with SpaceX on Thursday to transport Italian experiments on the first commercial Starship mission to Mars.

The payloads will include a plant growth experiment, a meteorological monitoring station, and a radiation sensor to collect scientific data during the six-month interplanetary flight from Earth to Mars and subsequently on the surface of the Red Planet.

Italian Space Agency

The payloads will include a plant growth experiment, a meteorological monitoring station, and a radiation sensor to collect scientific data during the six-month interplanetary flight from Earth to Mars and subsequently on the surface of the Red Planet.

Gwynne Shotwell, the president of SpaceX, confirmed the "first-of-its-kind agreement" on X, stating that SpaceX is now offering Starship services to Mars, with more details on the Italian deal to follow.

Gwynne Shotwell on X

Gwynne Shotwell, the president of SpaceX, confirmed the "first-of-its-kind agreement" on X, stating that SpaceX is now offering Starship services to Mars, with more details on the Italian deal to follow.

Starship is billed by SpaceX as the "most powerful launch vehicle ever developed," standing at 403 feet tall and capable of carrying a reusable rocket payload of up to 150 metric tons, and an expendable payload of 250 metric tons.

Spacex

Starship is billed by SpaceX as the "most powerful launch vehicle ever developed," standing at 403 feet tall and capable of carrying a reusable rocket payload of up to 150 metric tons, and an expendable payload of 250 metric tons.

SpaceX has conducted three Starship test flights in 2025 so far in January, March, and May, with each mission failing to reach Earth's orbit due to the upper stage repeatedly exploding. Flight 10 of Starship, meanwhile, is expected later this month.

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SpaceX has conducted three Starship test flights in 2025 so far in January, March, and May, with each mission failing to reach Earth's orbit due to the upper stage repeatedly exploding. Flight 10 of Starship, meanwhile, is expected later this month.

Minister Adolfo Urso described the agreement as confirmation of Italy's strategy to strengthen national industry and consolidate the country's presence in major space programs. ASI President Teodoro Valente, meanwhile, claimed it was evidence of Italy's leading position in space exploration.

Teodoro Valente on X

Minister Adolfo Urso described the agreement as confirmation of Italy's strategy to strengthen national industry and consolidate the country's presence in major space programs. ASI President Teodoro Valente, meanwhile, claimed it was evidence of Italy's leading position in space exploration.

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The Italian payloads will include a plant growth experiment, a meteorological monitoring station, and a radiation sensor designed to collect scientific data during the six-month interplanetary flight and on the Martian surface.</span

Space.com #

Italian Space Agency #

The Italian payloads will include a plant growth experiment, a meteorological monitoring station, and a radiation sensor designed to collect scientific data during the six-month interplanetary flight and on the Martian surface.

SpaceX President Gwynne Shotwell confirmed the first-of-its-kind agreement, stating that SpaceX is now offering Starship services to the red planet with more developments expected.</span

Teodoro Valente on X #

Gwynne Shotwell on X #

SpaceX President Gwynne Shotwell confirmed the first-of-its-kind agreement, stating that SpaceX is now offering Starship services to the red planet with more developments expected.

Starship stands 403 feet tall and is the world's largest and most powerful rocket with a payload capacity of up to 150 metric tons, though it has not yet reached Earth orbit successfully.</span

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Barrons #

PHYS #

Starship stands 403 feet tall and is the world's largest and most powerful rocket with a payload capacity of up to 150 metric tons, though it has not yet reached Earth orbit successfully.

SpaceX has conducted multiple Starship test flights in 2025, with the upper stage exploding during the three most recent missions in January, March, and May, while Flight 10 is expected this month.</span

Mashable India #

SpaceX has conducted multiple Starship test flights in 2025, with the upper stage exploding during the three most recent missions in January, March, and May, while Flight 10 is expected this month.

Minister Adolfo Urso described the agreement as confirmation of Italy's strategy to strengthen national industry and consolidate the country's presence in major space exploration programs.</span

AI Invest #

Minister Adolfo Urso described the agreement as confirmation of Italy's strategy to strengthen national industry and consolidate the country's presence in major space exploration programs.

SpaceX's track record raises serious concerns about mission reliability, with Starship failing to reach orbit despite multiple attempts and recent test explosions. The rocket hasn't successfully completed a single orbital mission, making promises of Mars flights seem premature and potentially risky for valuable scientific payloads.

SpaceX's track record raises serious concerns about mission reliability, with Starship failing to reach orbit despite multiple attempts and recent test explosions. The rocket hasn't successfully completed a single orbital mission, making promises of Mars flights seem premature and potentially risky for valuable scientific payloads.

SpaceX Agrees To Take Italian Experiments To Mars

SpaceX agrees to take Italian experiments to Mars

Italy Signs Deal for Mars Experiments on SpaceX Starship

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Italy

This partnership showcases Italy's forward-thinking approach to space exploration and technological innovation, while positioning Italian science at the forefront of Mars research. Through this deal, Italian equipment will be among the first to reach Mars, proving the nation's space capabilities on an interplanetary scale.

This partnership showcases Italy's forward-thinking approach to space exploration and technological innovation, while positioning Italian science at the forefront of Mars research. Through this deal, Italian equipment will be among the first to reach Mars, proving the nation's space capabilities on an interplanetary scale.

LItalia va su Marte

SpaceX's Starship will almost certainly never see the surface of Mars. Despite the spacecraft repeatedly failing in numerous test flights, there have been no efforts to revise the vessel's materials, core structure, or engine and fuel setup. If SpaceX persists in using a failed design, Starship will continue to fall short.

SpaceX's Starship will almost certainly never see the surface of Mars. Despite the spacecraft repeatedly failing in numerous test flights, there have been no efforts to revise the vessel's materials, core structure, or engine and fuel setup. If SpaceX persists in using a failed design, Starship will continue to fall short.

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Starship Was Doomed From The Beginning

There is a 0.1% chance that SpaceX will land people on Mars before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

There is a 0.1% chance that SpaceX will land people on Mars before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Italy Signs Deal for Mars Experiments on SpaceX Starship

Italy Signs Deal for Mars Experiments on SpaceX Starship

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Italy Signs Deal for Mars Experiments on SpaceX Starship

Italy Signs Deal for Mars Experiments on SpaceX Starship

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