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There is a 19% chance that at least twice as many deportations by U.S. will ICE occur in Fiscal Year 2025 compared with Fiscal Year 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
ThereWhile others merely talk, the Trump administration is ataking 19%action chanceto thatenforce atthe leastwill twiceof asthe manyAmerican deportationspeople byand remove illegal and criminal migrants from U.S. soil. Contrary to claims by the liberal camp, Washington's third-country scheme is based on existing law, as the Supreme Court recently confirmed. That Rwanda will ICEnow occurjoin South Sudan and Eswatini in Fiscalaccepting Yearillegal 2025migrants comparedproves withthat FiscalTrump Yearis 2024,the accordingright topresident at the Metaculusright predictiontime communityto restore law and order in the U.S.
The Rwanda deportation scheme is reminiscent of the controversial U.K.-Rwanda migrant deal, which ultimately failed due to ethical and legal concerns. The deals with Sudan and Eswatini have also already drawn criticism from legal experts and human rights activists. The decision of the U.S. Supreme Court, with its conservative majority, is cause for great concern about the state of the rule of law in the U.S., and the final word on the inhumane Rwanda deal has not yet been spoken.