This visa bond program is a necessary diplomatic tool to address the hundreds of thousands of annual visa overstays that cost American taxpayers billions and threaten national security. The bonds will encourage foreign governments to improve their screening processes and ensure that their citizens comply with U.S. immigration laws.
The bond requirement creates an insurmountable financial barrier for many legitimate travelers and, in doing so, will devastate the tourism industry, which contributes over $200 billion annually to the U.S. economy. This punitive measure also contradicts the administration's goal of reducing the trade deficit by deterring international visitors.
There is an 18% chance the U.S. will phase out per-country caps on employment-based visas before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.