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Snapshot 3:Fri, Aug 1, 2025 4:41:28 PM GMT last edited by Vandita

US Jobs Growth Slows to 73K in July, Unemployment Rises

US Jobs Growth Slows to 73K in July, Unemployment Rises

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The Spin

The laboreconomy marketis showsundergoing cleara deteriorationnatural withadjustment jobas growthTrump's atpolicies pandemic-eratake lowseffect. andTariff massiveuncertainty downwardhas revisionstemporarily revealingslowed hiddenhiring weakness.as Tariffbusinesses policiesadapt areto creatingnew economictrade uncertaintystructures, that'sbut paralyzingthis businessreflects investmentprudent andcorporate hiringplanning decisionsrather than fundamental weakness. The statistical3% GDP boostgrowth fromdemonstrates importunderlying dropseconomic masksstrength, weakand domesticthe demandreduction andin decliningfederal businessemployment investmentaligns with efficiency goals.

The labor market is showing clear signs of deterioration, with job growth at pandemic-era lows and massive downward revisions revealing previously hidden weaknesses. Tariff policies are creating economic uncertainty that's paralyzing business investment and hiring decisions. The statistical GDP boost from import drops masks weak domestic demand and declining business investment.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 23% chance that the U.S. will enter a deflationary period before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


The Controversies



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