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Snapshot 5:Fri, Aug 1, 2025 4:07:35 PM GMT last edited by Vandita

Slovenia First EU Nation to Ban All Weapons Trade with Israel

Slovenia First EU Nation to Ban All Weapons Trade with Israel

Above: Prime Minister of Slovenia, Robert Golob, arrives at the European Council on June 26, 2025. Image copyright: Pier Marco Tacca/Getty Images

The Spin

Slovenia's weapons ban represents necessary moral leadership when the EU fails to act. The devastating humanitarian crisis in Gaza, where people die because aid is systematically denied, demands immediate action from responsible nations. Slovenia courageously stepped forward while other EU members remain paralyzed by internal disagreements.

This weapons embargo amounts to empty symbolism since Slovenia hasn't sold arms to Israel since October 2023 anyway. The ban serves no practical purpose beyond generating headlines, as Israel doesn't purchase military equipment from Slovenia. It's a meaningless gesture designed for media attention rather than substantive policy.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 7% chance that any new country will attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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