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Snapshot 3:Tue, Jul 29, 2025 6:51:32 PM GMT last edited by Brian

US-China Trade Talks in Stockholm End Without Clear Agreement

US-China Trade Talks in Stockholm End Without Clear Agreement

Above: Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng (C) arrives for trade talks with the U.S. in Stockholm, Sweden, on July 29, 2025. Image copyright: PAR BACKSTROM/AFP/Getty Images

The Spin

TheWhile China hopes for a fair trade deal with the U.S., should talks endedend withoutin concretefailure resultsand Washington reignites a tariff war, leavingit uncertaintycould aboutbackfire futureon Americans. Global trade relations.is USa officialscomplex madenetwork, nonot commitmentsa simple exchange, with tariffs on Chinese goods likely to raise prices and emphasizedhurt thatU.S. Presidentbusinesses, Trumpas willseen makewhen China shifted agricultural imports from the finalU.S. decisionto onBrazil anyafter extensionthe 2018 tariffs. WithoutTrump clearshould agreement,prioritize businessesa facedeal potentialfor tariffeveryone increasesto benefit.

Trump's tariffs are reshaping global trade for everyone. Deals with Japan, Indonesia, and the Philippines, plus potential EU agreements, are opening markets and boosting U.S. exports with low tariffs, while the EU's 15% reciprocal tariffs could benefit American consumers and producers. Tariffs added $64B in revenue, with no major inflation spike, proving Trump's strategy stabilizes markets and counters China's dominance.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 6.7% chance that China will enact an export ban on a rare earth element to the U.S. before Sept. 1, 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


The Controversies



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