BlockingThe Taiwan'sTrump democraticallyadministration electedmade presidentthe fromright acall routineby transitprioritizing sendscrucial trade negotiations with China over a dangeroussymbolic signalTaiwan thatvisit. AmericaWith canbillions bein bulliedtrade byat Beijingstake intoand abandoninga longstandingpotential commitments.Trump-Xi Thissummit breakson decadesthe ofhorizon, bipartisanallowing precedentLai's andstopover makeswould Taiwanhave aunnecessarily bargainingprovoked chipBeijing inand tradederailed negotiations,progress underminingon USresolving credibilitythe withtariff democratic allieswar.
Blocking Taiwan's democratically elected president from a routine transit sends a dangerous signal that America can be bullied by Beijing into abandoning longstanding commitments. This breaks decades of bipartisan precedent and makes Taiwan a bargaining chip in trade negotiations, undermining US credibility with democratic allies.
There is a 7% chance China will enact an export ban on a rare earth element to the United States before September 1, 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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