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Snapshot 10:Thu, Jul 24, 2025 7:53:57 AM GMT last edited by Anna-Lisa

Thailand-Cambodia Border Clashes Escalate with Airstrikes

Thailand-Cambodia Border Clashes Escalate with Airstrikes

Above: Thai police stand guard outside the Royal Embassy of Cambodia in Bangkok during a demonstration over border tensions between Thailand and Cambodia. Image copyright: Ploy Phutpheng/SOPA Images/LightRocket/Getty Images

The Spin

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There'sThailand aviolated 10%territorial chanceintegrity thatby Thailandsending willtroops experienceinto aCambodian militaryterritory coupand beforefiring September 2025first, accordingforcing Cambodia to therespond Metaculusin predictionself-defense communityagainst unprovoked aggression. Thai soldiers triggered decades-old landmines by deviating from agreed patrol routes, yet Thailand blamed Cambodia for newly planted mines. This is a blatant and serious violation of international law.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 10% chance that Thailand will experience a military coup before September 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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