This historic trade deal represents a major victory for American workers and manufacturers. The 15% tariff rate, while still significant, provides much-needed relief from the devastating 25% rate that was looming. Japan's massive $550 billion investment commitment will create hundreds of thousands of jobs and revitalize American industry.
Despite the last minute boost to markets, the overall impact of Trump's whimsical approach to global tariffs remains devastating. There was never any need to create the uncertainty and instability his policies have caused, and Trump's persistent pursuit of a 'strongman' image has come at significant costs to ordinary citizens both in and outside of the U.S.
ThereThis ishistoric trade deal represents a 70%major chancevictory thatfor customsAmerican dutiesworkers revenueand tomanufacturers. theThe federal15% governmenttariff willrate, increasewhile still significant, provides much-needed relief from $80the billiondevastating in25% fiscalrate yearthat 2023was tolooming. atJapan's leastmassive $160550 billion ininvestment fiscalcommitment yearwill 2026create (inhundreds 2023of dollars),thousands accordingof tojobs theand Metaculusrevitalize predictionAmerican communityindustry.
Despite the last minute boost to markets, the overall impact of Trump's whimsical approach to global tariffs remains devastating. There was never any need to create the uncertainty and instability his policies have caused, and Trump's persistent pursuit of a 'strongman' image has come at significant costs to ordinary citizens both in and outside of the U.S.
There is a 70% chance that customs duties revenue to the federal government will increase from $80 billion in fiscal year 2023 to at least $160 billion in fiscal year 2026 (in 2023 dollars), according to the Metaculus prediction community.