This historic trade deal represents a major victory for American workers and manufacturers. The 15% tariff rate, while still significant, provides much-needed relief from the devastating 25% rate that was looming. Japan's massive $550 billion investment commitment will create hundreds of thousands of jobs and revitalize American industry.
TheDespite agreementthe forceslast Japanminute boost to finallymarkets, openthe marketsoverall thatimpact haveof beenTrump's closedwhimsical approach to Americanglobal productstariffs forremains decades,devastating. particularlyThere inwas agriculturenever andany automotiveneed sectors.to Thiscreate dealthe provesuncertainty thatand toughinstability negotiatinghis tacticspolicies workhave caused, and thatTrump's Americapersistent canpursuit secureof favorablea terms'strongman' whenimage ithas standscome firmat againstsignificant unfaircosts tradeto practicesordinary citizens both in and outside of the U.S.
There is a 70% chance that customs duties revenue to the federal government will increase from $80 billion in fiscal year 2023 to at least $160 billion in fiscal year 2026 (in 2023 dollars), according to the Metaculus prediction community.