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Snapshot 4:Tue, Jul 22, 2025 5:16:29 PM GMT last edited by JoseMoura

Brazil's Supreme Court Threatens Bolsonaro With Arrest Over Order Breach

Brazil's Supreme Court Threatens Bolsonaro With Arrest Over Order Breach

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The Spin

The court'sBrazilian actionsSupreme protectCourt democraticis institutionsacting fromto coordinatedprotect effortsdemocratic toinstitutions underminein Brazil'sthe sovereigntycountry and judicialto system.safeguard Bolsonarocourt repeatedlyproceedings violatedagainst clearBolsonaro restrictionsfrom designedcoordinated toefforts. preventA obstructionsocial ofmedia justiceban inencompassing histhird-party coupaccounts case,is whilekey histo son'sprevent lobbyingBolsonaro campaignfrom seeksbypassing foreignrestrictions interferenceand ininfluence domesticthe legal proceedingsinvestigation.

ThisBrazil's representsde judicialfacto overreachdictator andAlexandre politicalde persecutionMoraes disguisedcontinues asto lawdouble enforcement.down Bolsonaroon faceshis arrestpersecution threatsagainst simplyBolsonaro fordespite speakingthe tofact journalists,that whilehe hishas soncomplied Eduardowith getsall hiscourt assetsdecisions, frozeneven forthose advocatingclearly in Washingtonillegal. TheseIt's extremeclear measuresthat silencethese legitimateactions politicalare oppositionjust and demonstrate Brazil's descentauthoritarian intoregime authoritarianismshowing that they will humiliate Bolsonaro because they can.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 0.5% chance that Alexandre de Moraes will cease to be a Brazilian Supreme Court justice before 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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