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Snapshot 9:Thu, Jul 17, 2025 5:24:25 AM GMT last edited by Adam

US Third-Nation Deportations Resume as Procedures Loosen

US Third-Nation Deportations Resume as Procedures Loosen

Above: U.S. President Donald Trump at a migrant detention center in Ochopee, Fla., on July 1, 2025. Image copyright: Andrew Caballero-Reynolds/AFP/Getty Images

The Spin

This policy targets the worst criminals whose own countries won't take them back, protecting American communities from dangerous individuals. The Supreme Court cleared the way for these necessary deportations, and diplomatic agreements ensure proper handling. Mass deportations fulfill campaign promises to secure the border.

This policy strips away due process protections and puts thousands at risk of torture and death with inadequate legal safeguards. Six hours notice isn't enough time to prepare any defense, effectively denying people their rights. This violates international law and humanitarian principles.

This policy targets the worst criminals whose own countries won't take them back, protecting American communities from dangerous individuals. The Supreme Court cleared the way for these necessary deportations, and diplomatic agreements ensure proper handling. Mass deportations fulfill campaign promises to secure the border.

This policy strips away due process protections and puts thousands at risk of torture and death with inadequate legal safeguards. Six hours notice isn't enough time to prepare any defense, effectively denying people their rights. This violates international law and humanitarian principles.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 26% chance that at least twice as many deportations by U.S. ICE will occur in fiscal year 2025 compared with fiscal year 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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