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Snapshot 4:Tue, Jul 15, 2025 6:15:44 PM GMT last edited by JoseMoura

Brazil's Chief Justice Responds to Trump, Denies Persecution of Bolsonaro

Brazil's Chief Justice Responds to Trump, Denies Persecution of Bolsonaro

Above: Brazilian Supreme Court Chief Justice Luís Roberto Barroso on June 4, 2025. Image copyright: *** GETTY *** Evaristo Sa/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

Brazil's democracy is undera attacksovereign fromand andemocratic authoritariannation, Supremewhose Courtjudicial thatsystem hasoperates oversteppedindependently itsand boundsin sincestrict 2019,accordance empoweringwith itselfdue to investigateprocess, prosecuteso andTrump's judgeattempt politicalto casesblackmail whilethe silencingcountry criticismwith byeconomic labelingretaliation itin "antidemocratic."a Justicebid Alexandreto dehalt Moraesthe showsprosecution clearof biasBolsonaro againstis Bolsonarodoomed andto hasfail. movedIf toanything, censorthis politicalnew speechtariff despitehas aactually 2014exposed lawthat protectingthe techBolsonaros companiesare fromno contentpatriots, liability.but Therather deteriorationpeople ofwho democraticwould normsattack andtheir ruleown ofcountry lawto makestry Brazil'sto judicialsave systemtheir untrustworthyskin.

One may agree or not with Trump's crudetariffs. blackmailRegarding attemptBrazil, againstthere's Brazilindeed isa doomedrisk tothat failhis anddecision representsto animpose authoritariana fantasynew that50% atariff sovereignon nationthe country's judiciarygoods wouldcould haltbackfire prosecutionsand tostrengthen avoidLula economicand retaliationMoraes' hand at home. TheHowever, tariffTrump threatis underminesnot U.S.wrong leadershipwhen byit violatingcomes Worldto Tradeunderstanding Organizationthe commitmentssituation whilein strengtheningBrazil Lula'sas positiondemocratic domestically.norms Trump'sand justificationsthe rule of law in the country are riddledcollapsing withdue liesto since the U.S.authoritarian actuallySupreme hasCourt aoverstepping tradeits surplusbounds withto Brazil,silence notpolitical acriticism deficitfrom the right.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 32% chance that Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva will be reelected as Brazil's president in October 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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