These ham-fisted export curbs epitomize strategic myopia at its worst. By forcing China to develop indigenous alternatives, Washington effectively gifted Beijing the very technological independence it sought to prevent. Nvidia's market share plummeted, replaced entirely by Chinese innovation that export controls "turbocharged" into existence. The policy's fundamental folly lies in believing you can stifle progress through prohibition — instead of maintaining American technological hegemony, these controls merely accelerated China's march toward self-sufficiency while sacrificing billions in revenue.

There'sGranting China renewed access to advanced chips represents a 5%catastrophic chanceabdication thatof Nvidiastrategic willresponsibility. haveThese itsprocessors don't merely power consumer applications — they're the computational backbone of military AI acceleratorssystems, fabricatedsurveillance innetworks, and hypersonic weapons programs. Washington's restrictions targeted limiting China's beforeaccess 2033to high-performance computing for military applications, accordingyet tothis reversal hands Beijing the Metaculusvery predictiontools communityto accelerate authoritarian control and military modernization.

These ham-fisted export curbs epitomize strategic myopia at its worst. By forcing China to develop indigenous alternatives, Washington effectively gifted Beijing the very technological independence it sought to prevent. Nvidia's market share plummeted, replaced entirely by Chinese innovation that export controls "turbocharged" into existence. The policy's fundamental folly lies in believing you can stifle progress through prohibition — instead of maintaining American technological hegemony, these controls merely accelerated China's march toward self-sufficiency while sacrificing billions in revenue.