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When will the first fully autonomous surgery or procedure be performed on a human?

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"I think, today, [China is] probably two years behind the top [AI] models [from the US]."

"Where China sits [in AI], I think, is very far behind the US."

"The United States is in a strong position to win the essential [AI] race with China."

"China will dominate AI."

"The combination with China's self-made chips + AI infrastructure stack will put China ahead of the US."

China would "undoubtedly come out on top [in the US-China AI race]."

"[I]t seems like the United States is really far ahead [when it comes to generative AI]."

"China will lead the world in AI development."

In 2025, "China will start to lead the AI race (as a consequence of leading the open-source AI race)."

Will China Surpass the US in AI?

Chinese surgeons have reportedly performed successful remote robotic liver surgeries over 5,000 kilometers (3,100 miles) using satellite communication. A team in Lhasa, Tibet operated on patients in Beijing via the Apstar-6D satellite, orbiting 36,000 kilometers (22,370 miles) above Earth.

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Chinese surgeons have reportedly performed successful remote robotic liver surgeries over 5,000 kilometers (3,100 miles) using satellite communication. A team in Lhasa, Tibet operated on patients in Beijing via the Apstar-6D satellite, orbiting 36,000 kilometers (22,370 miles) above Earth.

Led by Professor Rong Liu of the PLA General Hospital, the team treated a 68-year-old man with liver cancer and a 56-year-old woman with hepatic hemangioma. Each procedure reportedly lasted between 105 and 124 minutes and was completed without complications.

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Led by Professor Rong Liu of the PLA General Hospital, the team treated a 68-year-old man with liver cancer and a 56-year-old woman with hepatic hemangioma. Each procedure reportedly lasted between 105 and 124 minutes and was completed without complications.

This marks the first instance of liver surgeries being performed over such a long distance using satellite networks, highlighting the potential of satellite technology to surpass the roughly 5,000 km limit of 5G infrastructure for remote surgeries.

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This marks the first instance of liver surgeries being performed over such a long distance using satellite networks, highlighting the potential of satellite technology to surpass the roughly 5,000 km limit of 5G infrastructure for remote surgeries.

The team overcame 632 milliseconds of communication latency — significantly above the traditional 200-millisecond safety threshold for remote surgery — by using advanced control systems that maintained robotic arm precision within 0.32 millimeters through predictive algorithms and neural network-based compensation.

The team overcame 632 milliseconds of communication latency — significantly above the traditional 200-millisecond safety threshold for remote surgery — by using advanced control systems that maintained robotic arm precision within 0.32 millimeters through predictive algorithms and neural network-based compensation.

The system featured automatic dual-link redundancy, switching to a 5G backup within 280 milliseconds if the satellite connection failed. And by prioritizing surgical commands and imaging, bandwidth usage was reduced by 62%, ensuring high-definition video quality was maintained.

The system featured automatic dual-link redundancy, switching to a 5G backup within 280 milliseconds if the satellite connection failed. And by prioritizing surgical commands and imaging, bandwidth usage was reduced by 62%, ensuring high-definition video quality was maintained.

Both patients were discharged within 24 hours, meeting recovery standards for in-person liver surgery. China plans further testing before deploying the technology in remote regions, disaster zones, and areas with limited medical infrastructure.

Both patients were discharged within 24 hours, meeting recovery standards for in-person liver surgery. China plans further testing before deploying the technology in remote regions, disaster zones, and areas with limited medical infrastructure.

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This marks the first time liver surgeries have been performed over such a long distance using satellite networks, potentially extending the operational range of robotic surgery from 5,000 kilometers with 5G networks to over 150,000 kilometers with satellite technology.

This marks the first time liver surgeries have been performed over such a long distance using satellite networks, potentially extending the operational range of robotic surgery from 5,000 kilometers with 5G networks to over 150,000 kilometers with satellite technology.

The team overcame 632 milliseconds of communication latency, significantly above the traditional 200-millisecond safety threshold for remote surgery. Despite the high latency, advanced control systems maintained robotic arm precision within 0.32 millimeters using predictive algorithms and neural network-based compensation.

The team overcame 632 milliseconds of communication latency, significantly above the traditional 200-millisecond safety threshold for remote surgery. Despite the high latency, advanced control systems maintained robotic arm precision within 0.32 millimeters using predictive algorithms and neural network-based compensation.

The system featured automatic dual-link redundancy, switching to a 5G backup within 280 milliseconds if the satellite connection failed. By also prioritizing surgical commands and imaging, bandwidth usage was reduced by 62%, ensuring high-definition video quality was maintained.

The system featured automatic dual-link redundancy, switching to a 5G backup within 280 milliseconds if the satellite connection failed. By also prioritizing surgical commands and imaging, bandwidth usage was reduced by 62%, ensuring high-definition video quality was maintained.

This breakthrough represents a quantum leap in medical technology that could save countless lives in underserved regions. The ability to perform precision surgery across vast distances using satellite networks breaks down geographical barriers that have long prevented access to life-saving procedures. China's investment in this technology demonstrates forward-thinking leadership in addressing global healthcare inequities.

This breakthrough represents a quantum leap in medical technology that could save countless lives in underserved regions. The ability to perform precision surgery across vast distances using satellite networks breaks down geographical barriers that have long prevented access to life-saving procedures. China's investment in this technology demonstrates forward-thinking leadership in addressing global healthcare inequities.

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While technically impressive, this technology raises concerns about the militarization of medical advances and potential security vulnerabilities in satellite-dependent systems. The emphasis on battlefield applications suggests dual-use capabilities that could complicate international medical cooperation. Questions remain about the long-term reliability and cost-effectiveness of such complex systems for routine healthcare delivery.

While technically impressive, this technology raises concerns about the militarization of medical advances and potential security vulnerabilities in satellite-dependent systems. The emphasis on battlefield applications suggests dual-use capabilities that could complicate international medical cooperation. Questions remain about the long-term reliability and cost-effectiveness of such complex systems for routine healthcare delivery.

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China Pioneers Remote Surgeries Using Robots And A Satellite

The success of these procedures validates years of research into overcoming the fundamental physics limitations of long-distance communication. By solving the latency problem that has plagued remote surgery, this achievement opens possibilities for space medicine and emergency response in previously unreachable locations. The technology represents a natural evolution from 5G-based telesurgery to truly global surgical capabilities.

The success of these procedures validates years of research into overcoming the fundamental physics limitations of long-distance communication. By solving the latency problem that has plagued remote surgery, this achievement opens possibilities for space medicine and emergency response in previously unreachable locations. The technology represents a natural evolution from 5G-based telesurgery to truly global surgical capabilities.

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Surgery via satellite: China conducts ultra-remote medical procedures  SatNews

China Performs World's First Satellite-Guided Remote Surgery

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The use of satellite technology for telesurgery represents a quantum leap in medical technology. By solving the latency problem that has long hindered remote surgery, it eliminates geographical barriers and unlocks new possibilities for space medicine and emergency care in previously unreachable regions. China's investment in this technology demonstrates forward-thinking leadership in addressing global healthcare inequities.

The use of satellite technology for telesurgery represents a quantum leap in medical technology. By solving the latency problem that has long hindered remote surgery, it eliminates geographical barriers and unlocks new possibilities for space medicine and emergency care in previously unreachable regions. China's investment in this technology demonstrates forward-thinking leadership in addressing global healthcare inequities.

Chinese Surgeons Perform First Remote Robotic Liver Surgery Using Satellite Communication

While telesurgery holds significant promise, it also raises key concerns about its practicality and ethical implications. The technology’s reliance on complex infrastructure and specialized training makes it difficult to implement universally. Moreover, questions around liability, security, and long-term reliability persist. Without addressing these issues, the vision of equitable global healthcare may remain out of reach.

While telesurgery holds significant promise, it also raises key concerns about its practicality and ethical implications. The technology’s reliance on complex infrastructure and specialized training makes it difficult to implement universally. Moreover, questions around liability, security, and long-term reliability persist. Without addressing these issues, the vision of equitable global healthcare may remain out of reach.

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There is a 50% chance the the first fully autonomous surgery or procedure performed on a human will occur by December 2032, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

There is a 50% chance the the first fully autonomous surgery or procedure performed on a human will occur by December 2032, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

China Performs World's First Satellite-Guided Remote Surgery

China Performs World's First Satellite-Guided Remote Surgery

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China Performs World's First Satellite-Guided Remote Surgery

China Performs World's First Satellite-Guided Remote Surgery

The Spin

Metaculus Prediction

The Controversies

Tsai

Ding

Smith

Rush

Munch

Hongyi

Maslej

Martinez

Delangue

Articles on this story

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