Trump says he's speaking with Putin today
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Trump, Putin Hold Phone Call on Ukraine and the Middle East
Trump, Putin Hold Phone Call on Ukraine and the Middle East
Above: Russian President Vladimir Putin speaks at the New Ideas For New Times Forum in Moscow, Russia on July 3, 2025. Image copyright: Contributor/Getty Images
The Spin
President Trump is making smart, courageous moves to bring peace — even if that means pausing some weapons shipments to Ukraine to open space for diplomacy. Vladimir Putin respects that kind of leadership. Their call shows dialogue is alive, and that matters. The U.S. and Russia can accomplish a lot — from Ukraine to the Middle East — if both sides stay focused on ending the war, not prolonging it.
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Metaculus Prediction
There's a 50% chance there will be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine by March 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.