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Snapshot 7:Thu, Jul 3, 2025 6:58:37 PM GMT last edited by Nick

Trump, Putin Hold Phone Call Amid Ukraine Weapons Pause

Trump, Putin Hold Phone Call Amid Ukraine Weapons Pause

Above: Russian President Vladimir Putin speaks at the New Ideas For New Times Forum in Moscow, Russia on July 3, 2025. Image copyright: Contributor/Getty Images

The Spin

Trump’s decision to pause weapons deliveries is a smart, necessary step to protect U.S. stockpiles and create space for diplomacy. He’s showing real leadership by refusing to fuel a war without a path to peace. Putin respects that courage, and together they can achieve real progress — from Ukraine to the Middle East — if both sides stay focused on ending conflict, not prolonging it.

Halting critical weapons to Ukraine mid-conflict weakens its defense and plays into Putin’s hands. Trump’s decision undermines allies, emboldens Russia, and delays peace by giving Moscow more leverage. Far from bold diplomacy, it’s a dangerous gamble that signals retreat — not resolve — and only strengthens Putin’s belief that he can outlast Western support.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 50% chance there will be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine by March 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


The Controversies



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