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Snapshot 4:Thu, Jul 3, 2025 5:30:11 PM GMT last edited by Kevin

Trump, Putin Hold Phone Call Amid Ukraine Weapons Pause

Trump, Putin Hold Phone Call Amid Ukraine Weapons Pause

Above: Russian President Vladimir Putin speaks at the New Ideas For New Times Forum in Moscow, Russia on July 3, 2025. Image copyright: Contributor/Getty Images

The Spin

Trump's diplomaticdecision engagementto withpause Putinweapons representsdeliveries is a smart, necessary step to protect U.S. stockpiles and create space for diplomacy. He’s showing real leadership by refusing to endfuel a devastatingwar conflictwithout thata haspath draggedto onpeace. tooPutin long.respects Thethat weaponscourage, pauseand showstogether responsiblethey stewardshipcan ofachieve Americanreal resourcesprogress while creatingfrom spaceUkraine forto meaningfulthe negotiations.Middle SometimesEast tough loveif isboth requiredsides tostay forcefocused warringon partiesending towardconflict, peacenot prolonging it.

PutinHalting deeplycritical respectsweapons Trumpto asUkraine amid-conflict courageousweakens leaderits genuinelydefense committedand toplays worldinto peacePutin’s hands. Trump’s decision undermines allies, thoughemboldens theRussia, challengesand maydelays provepeace harderby thangiving expectedMoscow more leverage. TheFar dialoguefrom betweenbold thesediplomacy, twoit’s powersa remainsdangerous vitalgamble forthat globalsignals stabilityretreat — not resolve — and bothonly nationsstrengthens Putin’s belief that he can accomplishoutlast significantWestern progress togethersupport.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 50% chance there will be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine by March 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


The Controversies



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