Jerome Powell

Oxford Economics

Torsten Sløk

Kristina Hooper

U. S. Chamber of Commerce

S&P Global

Goldman Sachs

Howard Lutnick

Polymarket

Peter Berezin

Olu Sonola

Samy Chaar

American Bankers Association

Joseph Brusuelas

Wells Fargo

James Doti

Michael Gapen

William J. Luther 

Matt Schoeppner

John Hussman

Bruce Kasman

Bernard Markstein

Yelena Maleyev

Mike Englund

Steven Hanke

Mark Zandi

Paul Gruenwald

Neil Shearing

Brian Moynihan

J.P. Morgan

Larry Summers

Metaculus

"We believe there will be no recession in 2025."

The likelihood of a recession is "getting close to 50-50."

"Barring an unforeseeable event, the economy should grow even better in 2025 than it did in 2023 and 2024."

"The threat of a recession is real."

"Contrary to popular perception, the US is at greater risk of a recession than it was in early 2022."

Will the US Go into Recession in 2025?

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<span>U.S. Senators began debating on Monday President Donald Trump's proposed tax legislation, titled the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which has already passed the House and Trump has requested be passed by the Senate by July 4.</span>

Al Jazeera

Wall Street Journal

U.S. Senators began debating on Monday President Donald Trump's proposed tax legislation, titled the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which has already passed the House and Trump has requested be passed by the Senate by July 4.

<span>The bill contains tax cuts, including permanent extensions of Trump's 2017 cuts, and reductions Medicaid and Affordable Care Act programs. It also raises the debt ceiling by $5T and imposes new restrictions on food stamps, such as raising beneficiaries' work requirements, and renewable energy incentives.</span>

The Hill

Foxnews

The bill contains tax cuts, including permanent extensions of Trump's 2017 cuts, and reductions Medicaid and Affordable Care Act programs. It also raises the debt ceiling by $5T and imposes new restrictions on food stamps, such as raising beneficiaries' work requirements, and renewable energy incentives.

<span>The bill's Medicaid cuts have sparked backlash from Democrats, who warn that 11.8M could lose coverage. Republicans defended the changes as necessary to ensure benefits go to the truly needy, adding work rules to promote self-sufficiency, though some Republicans have said the cuts are strong enough.</span>

Newsweek

The bill's Medicaid cuts have sparked backlash from Democrats, who warn that 11.8M could lose coverage. Republicans defended the changes as necessary to ensure benefits go to the truly needy, adding work rules to promote self-sufficiency, though some Republicans have said the cuts are strong enough.

<span>It also includes stricter immigration enforcement priorities, such as $46.5 billion for border wall construction and $12 billion to hire 10,000 new immigration officers, while also offering temporary protection from enforcement to immigrant farm and hospitality workers.</span>

Townhall

It also includes stricter immigration enforcement priorities, such as $46.5 billion for border wall construction and $12 billion to hire 10,000 new immigration officers, while also offering temporary protection from enforcement to immigrant farm and hospitality workers.

Senate Begins Floor Debate Over Trump's 'Big Beautiful Bill'

The Controversies

Sløk

Summers

Commerce

Sonola

Berezin

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