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Snapshot 4:Mon, Jun 30, 2025 5:25:27 PM GMT last edited by MattKalman

Sen Tillis Ends Reelection Bid After Trump Threatens Primary

Sen Tillis RetiresEnds Reelection Bid After Trump Threatens Primary Over Bill Opposition

Above: Sen. Thom Tillis speaks at the U.S. Capitol on June 27, 2025. Image copyright: Graeme Sloan/Bloomberg via Getty Images

The Spin

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Metaculus Prediction

There's a 64.8% chance that the Republican Party will hold a plurality in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterm elections, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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