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Snapshot 8:Fri, Jun 27, 2025 8:29:58 PM GMT last edited by MattKalman

Rwanda, DR Congo Sign US-Brokered Peace Deal Amid Court Case

Rwanda, DR Congo Sign US-Brokered Peace Deal Amid Court Case

Above: Rwandan Foreign Minister Olivier Nduhungirehe speaks during a peace agreement signing with his Democratic Republic of the Congo counterpart in Washington, D.C., on June 27, 2025. Image copyright: Mandel Ngan/AFP/Getty Images

The Spin

This deal is a beacon of hope after decades of brutal conflict that claimed millions of lives. By prioritizing territorial integrity and disarmament, it signals a commitment to diplomacy over warfare. While challenges remain, the optimism of leaders and international support offers a path to lasting peace, healing wounds, and fostering stability in a region long scarred by violence.

While any peace deal is hopeful, doubt still remains, especially after Angola's withdrawal as mediator months ago. Unclear roles, funding shortages, and Rwanda's alleged M23 support fuel skepticism. Complex Hutu-Tutsi tensions and competing mineral interests, driven by external powers, also suggest the deal may not hold. Past failed agreements warn that diplomacy could again give way to ongoing violence.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 25% chance that Goma will be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


The Controversies



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