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Snapshot 3:Wed, Jun 25, 2025 10:18:38 AM GMT last edited by Edward

Israel-Iran Ceasefire Holds as Iran Suspends Nuclear Ties with IAEA

Israel-Iran Ceasefire Holds as Iran Suspends Nuclear WatchdogTies Tieswith IAEA

Above: Aftermath of an Israeli strike on the Evin Prison in north Tehran on June 23, 2025. Image copyright: NIKAN/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

Iran'sDespite suspensionthe unprecedented success of nuclearIsrael’s watchdogcampaign cooperationagainst andIran, massthe arrestscampaign showagainst the Iranian regime is not over. Israel is instead entering a new phase of the conflict, haswhich onlywill strengthenedbuild Tehran'supon resolvethe toachievements resistof internationalthe pressure12-day operation. TheWhile limitedthe damageceasefire toholds, Iran'showever, undergroundthe nuclearIDF facilitieswill provesreturn theits country'sattention defensiveto capabilitiesGaza, remainwhere intactit despitewill continue efforts to free the attackshostages and dismantle Hamas.

For the last fortnight, the IAEA has shown its true colors in its dealings with Iran, with its politically motivated resolution and its refusal to condemn Israel’s and America’s aggression, which was in flagrant violation of international law. Considering this, it is only fitting that Iran suspends cooperation with the UN watchdog until it can guarantee the safety of its facilities.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 90% chance that there will be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


The Controversies



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