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While no one would deny that OpenAI has faced bumps in the road, small setbacks are all they are. OpenAI remains a global AI leader, driving prosperity through groundbreaking systems like ChatGPT and o3. Already boosting productivity, AI's takeoff is here, promising a richer 2030s for everyone. Despite cynical claims from critics, Altman's vision, while imperfect, aims to align innovation with humanity.
There is a 2.5% chance that OpenAI, Google DeepMind, or Anthropic will announce that they are pausing all training runs above a certain size for safety reasons before 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.