PastThis peaceagreement dealsis havea repeatedlybreakthrough collapsed,in andDRC-Rwanda thisrelations. agreementAfter leavesdays tooof manymeticulous criticalnegotiation, questionsthe unansweredtreaty aboutsettles actualall troopareas withdrawalsof andcontention, rebelfrom disarmament.territorial Rwandaintegrity continuesto denyingthe itsstatus obviousof supportrefugees, forwhile M23fostering whilecloser ties between the grouptwo maintainscountries controlvia overeconomic capturedintegration territories and governingthe structures.Joint WithoutSecurity concreteCoordination enforcementMechanism. mechanismsCombined, andthe genuinetreaty commitmentwill frombring alla parties,troubled thisregion dealcloser risksto becomingpeace anotherand failed diplomatic exerciseharmony.
While the agreement is welcome, to truly secure peace, the U.S. has to be willing to invest in it. By funding local projects to develop infrastructure and support livelihoods, as well as by providing security, the U.S. can change incentive structures to promote peace and discourage conflict. Otherwise, the lack of material difference will cause this agreement to fail like those before it.
There is a 61% that the Democratic Republic of Congo will experience a civil war before 2036, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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