New York Times

U.S. and China Agree to Stick to Prior Trade Truce After Tensions Escalated

New York Post

China chows on US fast food at London trade talks

Breitbart

London Trade Talks End Just Before Midnight With ‘A Framework’

Axios

Us China Trade Tariff

CNBC

Treasury Sec. Bessent leaves London, but U.S.-China trade talks continue

China-U.S. agree on framework to implement Geneva trade consensus after second day of London talks

US-China trade talks: Countries agree on framework after two days of talks in London

Metaculus

US-China War by 2027

Reuters

Us China Trade Talks Resume Second Day 2025 06 10

Lutnick Says Us China Trade Framework Should Resolve Rare Earth Issue 2025 06 10

View Analysts React Us China Trade Agreement 2025 06 11

Global Markets Wrapup 1 2025 06 11

Wall Street Journal

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Chris Giles

"China's nominal gross domestic product is unlikely to surpass that of the U.S. in the next few decades."

"This idea of China becoming the world's biggest economy may not happen, actually."

"China probably won't ever overtake the US economy on a sustained basis."

"The likelihood of the prediction that China's GDP will one day overtake that of the U.S. is declining."

"If China grows by a more moderate 4% over the long term, its GDP will exceed that of the US eight years later, in 2046."

"China is forecast to overtake the U.S. as the world’s largest economy by around 2035."

"China will overtake the US as the world's top economy in about 2035 with a high probability."

"[T]he size of China's economy in USD terms will overtake the US in 2028."

"China will overtake the United States to become the world's biggest economy in 2028."

Will China's GDP Overtake the US, And If So When?

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

The Economist

Nick Marro

Michael Snipes

Karl Schamotta

Robert Handfield

Peterson Institute for International Economics

Arun Sundaram

Alan Siger

National Retail Federation

Gabe Horwitz

Monica Morlacco

Mary Lovely

Felix Tintelnot

Scott Harris

Stephen Tapp

Ed Brzytwa

Michael Clemens

Rachel Friedberg

Steve Hanke

John A. Konrad V

Laurence Ales

Joe Rodriguez

Jean-Baptiste Wautier

"The prices of electronics would definitely go up."

The tariffs will "increase prices for everything that's imported, and that includes food."

Trump tariffs would "raise prices even more for consumers."

"I am extremely confident that food will get more expensive."

Trump's tariffs would "increase the cost of US manufacturing."

"Trump is about to make every American pay even more for coffee."

"Tariffs would disrupt supply chains and increase production costs."

Will the Proposed Trump Tariffs Increase the Price of Groceries/Goods/Services?

The framework aims to implement the Geneva consensus reached in May 2025, where both countries had agreed to a 90-day suspension of reciprocal tariffs and rollback of certain trade measures, but tensions later escalated over rare earth exports and semiconductor restrictions.</span

South China Morning Post

The framework aims to implement the Geneva consensus reached in May 2025, where both countries had agreed to a 90-day suspension of reciprocal tariffs and rollback of certain trade measures, but tensions later escalated over rare earth exports and semiconductor restrictions.

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent departed the London talks early to testify before Congress, while Commerce Secretary Lutnick and Trade Representative Jamieson Greer continued negotiations with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng and Commerce Minister Wang Wentao.</span

Free Malaysia Today

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent departed the London talks early to testify before Congress, while Commerce Secretary Lutnick and Trade Representative Jamieson Greer continued negotiations with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng and Commerce Minister Wang Wentao.

Both delegations will present the framework to their respective leaders, President Donald Trump and President Xi Jinping, for approval before implementation can proceed, with Lutnick indicating US export controls may be relaxed once China approves rare earth licenses.</span

The Edgesingapore

Both delegations will present the framework to their respective leaders, President Donald Trump and President Xi Jinping, for approval before implementation can proceed, with Lutnick indicating US export controls may be relaxed once China approves rare earth licenses.

The negotiations followed a 90-minute phone call between Trump and Xi Jinping on June 5, 2025, which helped stabilize relations after both countries accused each other of violating the Geneva trade agreement reached in mid-May.</span

The negotiations followed a 90-minute phone call between Trump and Xi Jinping on June 5, 2025, which helped stabilize relations after both countries accused each other of violating the Geneva trade agreement reached in mid-May.

Chinese International Trade Representative Li Chenggang described the London talks as professional and candid, expressing hope the progress would increase trust between the two nations, while noting the framework addresses consensus from both the Geneva meeting and the presidential phone call.</span

WION

Chinese International Trade Representative Li Chenggang described the London talks as professional and candid, expressing hope the progress would increase trust between the two nations, while noting the framework addresses consensus from both the Geneva meeting and the presidential phone call.

New York Times #1

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United States and Chinese officials reached a framework agreement on Tuesday, following two days of high-level trade negotiations at Lancaster House in London, with Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick stating the deal should resolve China's export restrictions on rare earth minerals and magnets.

Reuters #

CNBC #

United States and Chinese officials reached a framework agreement on Tuesday, following two days of high-level trade negotiations at Lancaster House in London, with Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick stating the deal should resolve China's export restrictions on rare earth minerals and magnets.

The framework aims to implement the Geneva consensus reached in May, where both countries had agreed to a 90-day suspension of reciprocal tariffs before tensions escalated over China's rare earth export controls and U.S. semiconductor restrictions.

CNN #

South China Morning Post #

The framework aims to implement the Geneva consensus reached in May, where both countries had agreed to a 90-day suspension of reciprocal tariffs before tensions escalated over China's rare earth export controls and U.S. semiconductor restrictions.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent departed the London talks early to testify before Congress, while Commerce Secretary Lutnick and Trade Representative Jamieson Greer continued negotiations with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng and Commerce Minister Wang Wentao.

Free Malaysia Today #

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent departed the London talks early to testify before Congress, while Commerce Secretary Lutnick and Trade Representative Jamieson Greer continued negotiations with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng and Commerce Minister Wang Wentao.

Both delegations will present the framework to Presidents Trump and Xi Jinping for approval before implementation, with Chinese trade representative Li Chenggang describing the talks as professional, rational and in-depth.</span

Both delegations will present the framework to Presidents Trump and Xi Jinping for approval before implementation, with Chinese trade representative Li Chenggang describing the talks as professional, rational and in-depth.

The agreement follows a 90-minute phone call between Trump and Xi Jinping on Thursday, which reportedly helped stabilize relations after both countries accused each other of violating the Geneva trade agreement reached in mid-May.

Axios #

The agreement follows a 90-minute phone call between Trump and Xi Jinping on Thursday, which reportedly helped stabilize relations after both countries accused each other of violating the Geneva trade agreement reached in mid-May.

Financial markets showed restrained optimism following the announcement, with Asian stocks edging up 0.2 percent and analysts noting the framework was largely expected, though comprehensive details remain unclear.</span

Yahoo Finance

Yahoo Finance #

Financial markets showed restrained optimism following the announcement, with Asian stocks edging up 0.2 percent and analysts noting the framework was largely expected, though comprehensive details remain unclear.

This framework represents crucial progress in preventing economic warfare between the world's largest economies. The deal addresses China's weaponization of rare earth exports while offering a path to reduce crippling tariffs that have damaged global supply chains. Smart diplomacy prevailed over destructive confrontation.

This framework represents crucial progress in preventing economic warfare between the world's largest economies. The deal addresses China's weaponization of rare earth exports while offering a path to reduce crippling tariffs that have damaged global supply chains. Smart diplomacy prevailed over destructive confrontation.

Responsible Statecraft

Responsible Statecraft #

Will Trump choose deal or discord with China?

The agreement lacks substance and represents another temporary bandage on fundamental trade imbalances. China continues to manipulate critical mineral exports while the US maintains necessary technology restrictions to protect national security interests. Real structural changes remain elusive.

The agreement lacks substance and represents another temporary bandage on fundamental trade imbalances. China continues to manipulate critical mineral exports while the US maintains necessary technology restrictions to protect national security interests. Real structural changes remain elusive.

The US-China Conflict

US, China Agree on Trade Framework After London Talks

China

Economic conditions & trends

Politics

United States of America

The agreement merely kicks the can down the road without addressing fundamental structural issues in the trade relationship. Previous frameworks and agreements have repeatedly fallen apart due to implementation disputes and lack of trust between the parties. Markets remain skeptical about long-term sustainability of any deal.

The agreement merely kicks the can down the road without addressing fundamental structural issues in the trade relationship. Previous frameworks and agreements have repeatedly fallen apart due to implementation disputes and lack of trust between the parties. Markets remain skeptical about long-term sustainability of any deal.

US, China Agree on Trade Framework After London Talks

US, China Agree on Trade Framework After London Talks

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US, China Agree on Trade Framework After London Talks

US, China Agree on Trade Framework After London Talks

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