Versions :<1234567Live>
Snapshot 6:Tue, Jun 10, 2025 12:40:05 PM GMT last edited by ArthursSeat22

UN Report: Socioeconomic Barriers Block Desired Family Size

UN Report: Socioeconomic Barriers Block Desired Family Size

Above: A newborn in the neonatal department of Taizhou People's Hospital in Nanjing, China, on Jan. 28, 2025. Image copyright: Costfoto/NurPhoto via Getty Images

The Spin

ForWhile decades,global governmentseconomic fromtrends acrossare thecertainly worldhaving havea triednegative toeffect engineeron fertility rates throughworldwide, policiesas rangingis a shift away from coercionthe toconvention financialof incentives.marriage, Thesethe measuresfact can't be ignored that, howeverin the Western world, women have consistentlybeen failedsold toa impactlie long-termof economic parity which now manifests in a lower fertility andrate. For a generation once told they could 'have, atit timesall,' hadcompeting unintendedpriorities consequences.of Toa addresscareer theand globalparenthood, fertilityall crisis,amid countriesa mustfailing empowerchildcare theirand citizenshousing infrastructure, mean many ofare whomleft desirewith children,no bychoice removingbut theto socialrisk sacrificing independence and economicrelationship barriersparity thatfor constraina theirbetter choicesbiological chance of motherhood.

TheFor primarydecades, drivergovernments offrom fallingacross fertility rates is the declineworld ofhave marriagetried asto aengineer socialfertility convention.rates Inthrough Americapolicies alone,ranging researchfrom suggestscoercion thatto 75%financial ofincentives. theThese declinemeasures, inhowever, fertilityhave sinceconsistently 2007failed isto dueimpact tolong-term fallingfertility marriageand rateshave, asat thosetimes, who did marry had childrenunintended justconsequences. likeTo theiraddress parentsthe andglobal grandparents.fertility Consequentlycrisis, thecountries solutionmust isempower atheir pro-marriagecitizens, agendamany thatof provideswhom economicdesire supportchildren, andby opportunitiesremoving forthe youngsocial peopleand whoeconomic choosebarriers tothat tieconstrain thetheir knotchoices.

The primary driver of falling fertility rates is the decline of marriage as a social convention. In America alone, research suggests that 75% of the decline in fertility since 2007 is due to falling marriage rates, as those who did marry had children just like their parents and grandparents. Consequently, the solution is a pro-marriage agenda that provides economic support and opportunities for young people who choose to tie the knot.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 50% chance that the global fertility rate will be at least 1.8 children per woman in 2050, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


Go Deeper


Articles on this story

Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters

Sign Up!
Sign Up Now!