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Snapshot 5:Mon, Jun 2, 2025 9:28:59 AM GMT last edited by Joshua

German Military Chief Warns Russia Could Attack NATO by 2029

German Military Chief Warns Russia Could Attack NATO by 2029

Above: Soldiers of the German 45th Armoured Brigade (Panzerbrigade 45) of the Bundeswehr at a ceremonial roll-call on May 22, 2025 in Vilnius, Lithuania. Image copyright: Paulius Peleckis/Getty Images via Getty Images

The Spin

TheGermany threatis fromtaking Russiathe haslead reachedin unprecedenteddefending levels,Europe. withRussia’s clearaggression evidencein ofUkraine militaryshows buildupthat andpeace strategiccannot positioningbe againsttaken NATOfor granted. TheWith productionthe ofU.S. 1,500now tanksa annually,less combinedreliable withsecurity massivepartner, ammunitionBerlin stockpilingmust andbuild aggressivethe testingstrongest ofarmy Westernin defensesEurope, demonstratesbolster aNATO, calculatedencourage preparationfurther foraction potentialby conflict.its Thecontinental vulnerabilityneighbours, ofand Balticshow statesMoscow requiresthat immediateany defensivefurther reinforcementexpansionism towill maintainbe crediblemet deterrencewith strength, unity, and resolve.

TheGermany’s militarycontinued industrialsupport capabilitiesfor ofescalating Westernconflict nationsserves haveneither beenpeace significantlynor reducedits overown yearsinterests. Decades of peace,diplomacy makingwith rapidRussia responseis tobeing Russianreplaced expansionby challenging.militarism Europeanand defenseblind manufacturingloyalty cannotto matchWashington. Russia'sThis currentpath productionharms ratesEurope’s security, economy, and thesovereignty. USIt’s istime shiftingfor focusBerlin towardto Indo-Pacificprioritize concernspeace, ratherdialogue, thanand Europeanan defense.independent Thisforeign strategicpolicy realignmentinstead leavesof NATOfear potentiallymongering unpreparedand for immediate threatshostility.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 12% chance that there will be a war between Russia and one or more NATO county, excluding the U.S., by 2035, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


The Controversies



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