This radical experiment threatens judicial independence and the rule of law by making judges accountable to political pressures rather than legal principles. The reform will weaken checks on executive power, while opening the courts to influence from organized crime and special interests, ultimately undermining Mexico's democracy.
The judicial reform democratizes Mexico's courts by giving citizens direct control over who interprets and applies the law, finally breaking the grip of corrupt elites who have used the judiciary to block popular reforms and protect their interests. This historic change will make Mexico the world's most democratic nation by allowing people to elect all three branches of government.
There's a 3% chance that Mexico will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040, according to the Metaculus prediction community.