Israel Announced a New Invasion of Gaza. Is It Bluffing?
New York TimesMAY 17
The return to war will not save the hostages. Furthermore, Israel's aid distribution plans are already proving to be ineffective and problematic. Allowing in a token amount of aid will not significantly improve the humanitarian situation. Indeed, both sides need to make concessions so that the ceasefire can be fully implemented and the hostages are returned.
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It's quite clear given the statements made by Israeli officials that the decision to allow a small amount of aid into Gaza is a cynical ploy to continue the genocide while preventing international intervention. Indeed, the GHF is an Israeli plot to selectively starve Palestinians and force their displacement. Trump, just like Biden, has lied about the war and has fully supported Israel as it continues its genocidal policies.
There's a 10% chance that the Gaza war will end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.