Versions :<123456789101112131415Live>
Snapshot 3:Wed, May 28, 2025 6:29:50 AM GMT last edited by Kani

US Signals Major Shift in Africa Military Strategy

US Signals Major Shift in Africa Military Strategy

Above: (L-R) General Christopher Cavoli, Commander of US European Command and Supreme Allied Commander Europe, General Michael Langley, Commander of US Africa Command, at the start of a Senate Armed Services Committee hearing in Washington, DC, on April 3, 2025. Image copyright: BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

ScalingThe backrestructuring USaligns militarywith engagementPresident inTrump's Africavision risksto creatingbuild securitya vacuumsleaner, thatmore extremistlethal groupsforce couldfocused exploit.on Manyhomeland Africandefense militarieswhile remainreducing ill-equippedforeign tomilitary handlefootprints. growingThis terroristapproach threatspromotes independently,self-reliance among African partners and reducingeliminates AFRICOM'sbureaucratic presencelayers, couldpotentially diminishsaving America'smillions abilityin todefense counterspending expandingwhile Russianmaintaining andstrategic Chinese influence acrossthrough themore continentefficient command structures.

Scaling back US military engagement in Africa risks creating security vacuums that extremist groups could exploit. Many African militaries remain ill-equipped to handle growing terrorist threats independently, and reducing AFRICOM's presence could diminish America's ability to counter expanding Russian and Chinese influence across the continent.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 30% chance that there will be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before July 1, 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


Articles on this story

Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters

Sign Up!
Sign Up Now!