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Snapshot 9:Wed, May 21, 2025 9:44:26 PM GMT last edited by Nick

Bolivia: Evo Morales Disqualified From Presidential Race

Bolivia: Evo Morales Disqualified From Presidential Race

Above: Former Bolivian President Evo Morales gestures as he speaks during the presentation of his government's program in Lauca Eñe, Chapare Province, on April 27, 2025. Image copyright: Aizar Raldes/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

The electoral court's decisions represent a calculated political maneuver to silence the authentic voices of Bolivia's left-wing movement. These technical disqualifications deliberately target the most popular opposition figures who genuinely represent the interests of Indigenous and working-class citizens, effectively denying voters their right to choose their preferred candidates.

The court's decisions uphold crucial democratic principles and constitutional rules, preventing the perpetuation of personalistic power. By enforcing term limits and proper party registration requirements, these rulings protect Bolivia's institutional framework and ensure all candidates must follow the same legal standards, regardless of their political influence.

The disqualification of Morales represents a calculated political maneuver disguised as a legal procedure. Massive protests, with over 3 million people marching from El Alto to La Paz, have shown the overwhelming public support for his candidacy. Yet, political elites in Bolivia are exploiting judicial mechanisms to eliminate strong opposition candidates, in a threat to the very foundations of democratic representation.

Morales' attempt to circumvent term limits through dubious legal loopholes exemplifies his disregard for constitutional order. His voluntary resignation some years ago following election fraud allegations, coupled with current legal troubles, clearly demonstrates his unfitness for office. This decision upholds democratic principles and prevents the perpetuation of authoritarian tendencies.

Metaculus Prediction

There's an 18% chance that Bolivia will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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