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Snapshot 4:Tue, May 20, 2025 12:16:12 PM GMT last edited by Anna-Lisa

Zelenskyy Rules Out Withdrawing Ukrainian Troops from Its Own Territory

Zelenskyy Rules Out Withdrawing Ukrainian Troops from Its Own Territory

Above: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy speaks at a press conference in Kyiv, Ukraine, on May 19, 2025. Image copyright: Danylo Antoniuk/Anadolu/Contributor via Getty Images

The Spin

Ukraine fully supports the path of peace and a ceasefire. However, Ukraine cannot support voluntarily withdrawing its troops from its own lands. If Russia proposes such a move, it's clear that it's not serious about peace or a ceasefire.

Russia and Ukraine will now work to draft proposals for a ceasefire before the sides engage in extensive technical negotiations to achieve a unified process. However, this work cannot be rushed and deadlines are inappropriate as the devil lies in the details.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 45% chance that there will be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


The Controversies



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