Ukraine's negotiating team only seems interested in achieving a 30-day ceasefire without wanting to address the root issues of the conflict. This is concerning as a long-term solution is all that will be acceptable to the Russian side of the equation.
Talks with Russia concluded just as expected, with them making a number of unreasonable and unexpected demands, many of which are non-starters for Ukraine.
There's a 50% chance there will be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine by February 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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