TheThis attack exposes the failure of Burkina Faso's military junta to improve security despite promises made when seizing power. Moreover, the regime's counterinsurgency strategy has backfired by systematically encouraging state-sanctioned violence against civilians, particularly ethnic Fulanis, which has fueled militant recruitment and allowed JNIM to position itself as a protector of targeted communities. It is not foreign powers that make a coup likely, but Traoré's increasingly autocratic and irresponsible policies.

ThereForeign ispowers aare 35%just chanceas involved in the terrorism that Burkina Faso willis experiencefighting as they are in the numerous assassination attempts on President Traoré. Traoré only became a civilthreat warto beforeWestern 2036interests by systematically cutting their influence in his country, accordingand turning to Russia while introducing sweeping reforms. The growing popularity of the Metaculusyoung predictioncharismatic communityleader with his anti-imperialist and anti-neocolonialist stance speaks for itself, and it is to be hoped that Traoré will not suffer the same fate as his idol, Thomas Sankara.

This attack exposes the failure of Burkina Faso's military junta to improve security despite promises made when seizing power. Moreover, the regime's counterinsurgency strategy backfired by systematically encouraging state-sanctioned violence against civilians, particularly ethnic Fulanis, which has fueled militant recruitment and allowed JNIM to position itself as a protector of targeted communities. It is not foreign powers that make a coup likely, but Traoré's increasingly autocratic and irresponsible policies.