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Snapshot 5:Mon, Dec 2, 2024 9:32:27 PM GMT last edited by Brian

French PM Risks Ouster After Forcing Budget Through Parliament

French PM Risks Ouster After Forcing Budget Through Parliament

Above: French Prime Minister Michel Barnier delivers a speech during the voting session on the draft of the 2025 Social Security bill at the National Assembly, the French Parliament's lower house, in Paris, France, on Dec. 2, 2024. Image copyright: Stephane De Sakutin/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

Barnier's concessions to Marine Le Pen's far-right agenda signal a broader failure of France's political system. His scrapped tax hike, restrictions on healthcare for migrants, and electoral reform proposals betray a desperate attempt to placate extremists, undermining the republic's principles. As mainstream parties fail to unify, Le Pen exploits the chaos, consolidating power while eroding democratic norms.

Macron’s government has proven its incompetence, paralyzing France with snap elections and reckless tax hikes. PM Barnier's harmful policies have left the nation with rising borrowing costs, stagnating growth, and declining consumer confidence. It's clear that only the National Rally’s pragmatic, growth-focused leadership can restore fiscal stability, protect pensions, and rebuild public trust.

Metaculus Prediction

According to the Metaculus prediction community, there is a 33.32% chance that Marine Le Pen will be elected president of France in 2027, compared to 23.85% for another candidate.


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