Metaculus

Civil Wars End in These Countries

Guardian

Islamist rebels seize strategic city of Hama from Syrian regime forces

In a shock offensive, insurgents breach Aleppo, Syria's largest city

Syrian and Russian jets strike rebels after opposition seize much of Aleppo

Independent

Armed men seen at Aleppo airport after rebels take control of Syrian city

Fighter jets from Syria and Russia intensified their attacks on insurgent-held areas of Syria's northwest after the city of Aleppo fell to anti-government militants in a surprise offensive over the weekend.

Fighter jets from Syria and Russia intensified their attacks on insurgent-held areas of Syria's northwest after the city of Aleppo fell to anti-government militants in a surprise offensive over the weekend.

The fall of Aleppo, including its airport, came after a coalition of insurgents led by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) — a former affiliate of Al-Qaeda and widely considered a terror organization — launched its multi-pronged assault from its stronghold in the Idlib province on Wednesday — since spreading to the neighboring provinces of Aleppo and Hama.

The Associated Press

The fall of Aleppo, including its airport, came after a coalition of insurgents led by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) — a former affiliate of Al-Qaeda and widely considered a terror organization — launched its multi-pronged assault from its stronghold in the Idlib province on Wednesday — since spreading to the neighboring provinces of Aleppo and Hama.

Meanwhile, Turkish-backed militants from the Free Syrian Army, as part of the anti-government coalition, attacked and captured positions held by the Syrian Democratic Forces — another militant group largely made up of Kurdish fighters that previously received US backing.

Meanwhile, Turkish-backed militants from the Free Syrian Army, as part of the anti-government coalition, attacked and captured positions held by the Syrian Democratic Forces — another militant group largely made up of Kurdish fighters that previously received US backing.

While the Syrian civil war, which started in 2011, has never formally ended, fighting had largely drawn to a close after Russian Pres. Vladimir Putin and Turkish Pres. Recep Tayyip Erdoğan agreed to a cease-fire between the different factions in Syria's Idlib province in 2020.

While the Syrian civil war, which started in 2011, has never formally ended, fighting had largely drawn to a close after Russian Pres. Vladimir Putin and Turkish Pres. Recep Tayyip Erdoğan agreed to a cease-fire between the different factions in Syria's Idlib province in 2020.

Following the recent attacks, Syrian Pres. Bashar al-Assad vowed to "eliminate" the threat. According to reports, following Syrian and Russian airstrikes on insurgent strongholds on Sunday, Syrian troops began pushing insurgents back in Hama.

Alarabiya

Following the recent attacks, Syrian Pres. Bashar al-Assad vowed to "eliminate" the threat. According to reports, following Syrian and Russian airstrikes on insurgent strongholds on Sunday, Syrian troops began pushing insurgents back in Hama.

According to the Syrian Civil Defense, a rescue group that operates out of opposition-controlled areas, at least 25 people were killed in Syrian and Russian attacks.

According to the Syrian Civil Defense, a rescue group that operates out of opposition-controlled areas, at least 25 people were killed in Syrian and Russian attacks.

Metaculus #

Guardian #

NPR #7045

CNN #2993

Independent #735

CNN #

The fall of Aleppo, including its airport, came after a coalition of insurgents led by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) — a former affiliate of Al-Qaeda and widely considered a terror organization — launched its multi-pronged assault from its stronghold in the Idlib province on Wednesday, since spreading to the neighboring provinces of Aleppo and Hama.

The Associated Press #

The fall of Aleppo, including its airport, came after a coalition of insurgents led by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) — a former affiliate of Al-Qaeda and widely considered a terror organization — launched its multi-pronged assault from its stronghold in the Idlib province on Wednesday, since spreading to the neighboring provinces of Aleppo and Hama.

Meanwhile, Turkish-backed militants from the Free Syrian Army, as part of the anti-government coalition, attacked and captured positions held by the Syrian Democratic Forces, another militant group largely made up of Kurdish fighters that previously received US backing.

Meanwhile, Turkish-backed militants from the Free Syrian Army, as part of the anti-government coalition, attacked and captured positions held by the Syrian Democratic Forces, another militant group largely made up of Kurdish fighters that previously received US backing.

While the Syrian civil war, which started in 2011, has never formally ended, fighting had largely drawn to a close after Russian Pres. Vladimir Putin and Turkish Pres. Recep Tayyip Erdoğan agreed a ceasefire between the different factions in Syria's Idlib province in 2020.

While the Syrian civil war, which started in 2011, has never formally ended, fighting had largely drawn to a close after Russian Pres. Vladimir Putin and Turkish Pres. Recep Tayyip Erdoğan agreed a ceasefire between the different factions in Syria's Idlib province in 2020.

According to the Syrian civil defense, a rescue group that operates out of opposition-controlled areas, at least 25 people were killed in Syrian and Russian attacks.

According to the Syrian civil defense, a rescue group that operates out of opposition-controlled areas, at least 25 people were killed in Syrian and Russian attacks.

While the West is concerned about the possible resurgence of jihadist terror groups in Syria, it will not complain too much about Assad's government, alongside its partners in Russia and Hezbollah, being put under pressure in the country.

While the West is concerned about the possible resurgence of jihadist terror groups in Syria, it will not complain too much about Assad's government, alongside its partners in Russia and Hezbollah, being put under pressure in the country.

Syria sends in reinforcements to halt insurgents from advancing after seizing Aleppo

The terror groups waging this campaign have a long history of conspiring with Western governments in an effort to overthrow Assad. However, Assad will undoubtedly repel these attacks as he had done previously.

The terror groups waging this campaign have a long history of conspiring with Western governments in an effort to overthrow Assad. However, Assad will undoubtedly repel these attacks as he had done previously.

Thecradle.Co

Thecradle.Co #

Assad vows to eradicate 'terrorism' as Syrian army regroups to confront HTS offensive

There's a 50% chance that Syria will no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war by August 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

There's a 50% chance that Syria will no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war by August 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Bakr Alkasem/AFP/Contributor via Getty Images

Syrian, Russian Jets Intensify Strikes Against Insurgent-Held Positions

Bakr Alkasem/AFP/Contributor via Getty Images

Syrian, Russian Jets Intensify Strikes Against Insurgent-Held Positions

Russia

Syria

Armed conflict

Iran

Turkey

While the West is concerned about the possible resurgence of jihadist terror groups in Syria, it will not complain too much about Assad's government — alongside its partners in Russia and Hezbollah — being put under pressure.

While the West is concerned about the possible resurgence of jihadist terror groups in Syria, it will not complain too much about Assad's government — alongside its partners in Russia and Hezbollah — being put under pressure.

Syrian, Russian Jets Intensify Strikes Against Insurgent-Held Positions

Syrian, Russian Jets Intensify Strikes Against Insurgent-Held Positions

The Spin

Metaculus Prediction

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Syrian, Russian Jets Intensify Strikes Against Insurgent-Held Positions

Syrian, Russian Jets Intensify Strikes Against Insurgent-Held Positions

The Spin

Metaculus Prediction

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