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Snapshot 4:Mon, Nov 25, 2024 3:26:18 PM GMT last edited by Haakan

Pakistan police clash with Imran Khan supporters demanding his release

Pakistan police clash with Imran Khan supporters demanding his release

Above: On November 24, 2024, security forces detains a PTI supporter in Lahore during a demonstration seeking Imran Khan's release.  Image copyright: ARIF ALI / Contributor / AFP via Getty Images***PLEASE REPLACE WATERMARKED IMAGE***

The Facts

  • As Pakistan's capital Islamabad remains under lockdown on Monday in preparation for a protest demanding the release of former Prime Minister Imran Khan and the resignation of the government, police detained nearly 4K of Khan's followers, including five legislators.

  • Imran Khan's wife, Bushra Bibi, and Peshawar politician Ali Amin Gandapur led a march to Islamabad. In January, Bushra Bibi was imprisoned with Khan but released on bail in late October. On their way to the capital, she promised supporters, "Until Khan comes to us, we will not end this march."


The Spin

The incarceration of former PM Imran Khan has heightened political tensions. As police and military prepare to meet protesters in riot gear, some analysts worry that Pakistan may be on the brink of civil war. The most powerful figure in the country is not the army chief or PM Sharif; rather, it is Imran Khan. Even from jail, he can organize large-scale demonstrations that could compel the military to shut down the entire capital.

The march represents Khan's last opportunity to persuade the military establishment to negotiate for his release. However, military leaders are unlikely to engage in talks with the former Prime Minister. It seems Khan will remain in jail for the foreseeable future, as he is perceived as corrupt and a traitor. The government has pledged to arrest every PTI protester attempting to enter Islamabad. For Pakistan to progress, there is no room for individuals like Khan and the PTI.


Metaculus Prediction


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