Pakistan partially stops mobile and internet services ahead of pro-Imran Khan protest
Associated PressNOV 2024
The incarceration of former PM Imran Khan has heightened political tensions. As police and military prepare to meet protesters in riot gear, some analysts worry that Pakistan may be on the brink of civil war. The most powerful figure in the country is not the army chief or PM Sharif; rather, it is Imran Khan. Even from jail, he can organize large-scale demonstrations that could compel the military to shut down the entire capital.
The march represents Khan's last opportunity to persuade the military establishment to negotiate for his release. However, military leaders are unlikely to engage in talks with the former Prime Minister. It seems Khan will remain in jail for the foreseeable future, as he is perceived as corrupt and a traitor. The government has pledged to arrest every PTI protester attempting to enter Islamabad. For Pakistan to progress, there is no room for individuals like Khan and the PTI.
There is a 21% chance Pakistan will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040, according to the Metaculus preditcion community.