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Snapshot 4:Wed, Nov 20, 2024 5:08:42 PM GMT last edited by JoseMoura

Somaliland Opposition Leader Wins Presidential Election

Somaliland Opposition Leader Wins Presidential Election

Above: Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi, also known as Irro, attends a press conference on Nov. 10, 2024. Image copyright: *** GETTY *** Luis Tato/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

Once in office, the president-elect of Somaliland intends to engage in dialogue with the federal government of Somalia towards reunification — and that should come as no surprise as he announced that during his campaign. Voters in Somaliland had their say, and what they said really pleases Mogadishu.

BIf anything, this presidential election shows that democratic institutions in Somaliland are rock solid and further strengthens its quest for international recognition. Even if the president-elect and his party want to take a different approach, this by no means suggest that anyone in Somaliland is willing to give up independence.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 19% chance that Ethiopia will formally recognize Somaliland in 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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