Reports from last year showed the presence of Russian spy ships in Nordic waters, the US has noted increased Russian activity by undersea cables in recent weeks, while only days ago a Russian vessel had to be removed from Irish waters. With tension between Russia and Europe at a historic high, it does not take much to assume this was Putin's doing.
The news of these incidents comes only days after Russia warned the US and the UK were considering infrastructure attacks similar to what was seen previously with Nord Stream 1 and 2. Luckily, it has been announced that the cables will be repaired in a matter of weeks.
There'sReports afrom 1%last chanceyear thatshowed anthe investigationpresence conductedof byRussian orspy onships behalfin ofNordic anywaters, NATOthe governmentUS willhas reportnoted thatincreased theRussian USactivity wasby involvedundersea cables in therecent destructionweeks, ofwhile theonly Norddays Streamago pipelinea beforeRussian 2025vessel had to be removed from Irish waters. With tension between Russia and Europe at a historic high, accordingit does not take much to theassume Metaculusthis predictionwas communityPutin's doing.
There's a 1% chance that an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government will report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.