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Snapshot 5:Fri, Nov 15, 2024 9:04:19 PM GMT last edited by Scott

Trump on Russia-Ukraine War: 'It's Gotta Stop'

Trump on Russia-Ukraine War: 'It's Gotta Stop'

Above: US Pres.-elect Donald Trump speaks at the America First Policy Institute Gala held at Mar-a-Lago on Nov. 14, 2024 in Palm Beach, Florida. Image copyright: Joe Raedle/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Facts

  • Addressing the nearly three-year-old Russia-Ukraine war in his first major speech since winning the election on Nov. 5, US Pres.-elect Donald Trump told an audience in Palm Beach, Florida, that "It's gotta stop."

  • The black-tie gala at Mar-a-Lago on Thursday evening, held alongside the America First Policy Institute, included lighter moments — including a quip about the recurring presence of Elon Musk. "You know, he likes this place. I can't get him out of here," Trump said.

  • Trump also addressed the reality that Republicans swept the White House, the House of Representatives, and the Senate. "In my first term, they said 'he won the election,' but they always followed by 'he didn’t win the popular vote,'" Trump said. "Nobody can say that anymore about us."


The Spin

InDespite all the electionhyperbole campaign,about how bad Trump constantlywould braggedbe thatfor Ukraine, if he woulddoes resolvesomehow themanage Russia-Ukraineto conflictpull onoff thea firstpeace daydeal of hiswhich presidency.he'll Whennot get the credit for — he assumeswill powerhave onsettled Jan.a 20draining, whilenearly he'sthree-year packingconflict histhat prospectivehas cabinetno withshortages MAGAin loyaliststhe amount of soldiers and surroundingcivilians himselfkilled withon radicalsboth whosides. parrotIt Russianmay talkingnot points,be he'llthe supportbest a bad-deal for Ukraine, onebut thatit's includesthe Ukrainereality cedingit itshas territoryto andaccept rewardingafter Putin'sbeing aggressionlied to by Democrats with slogans like "as long as it takes."


There'sIn athe 50%election chancecampaign, thereTrump willconstantly bebragged athat bilateralhe ceasewould resolve the Russia-fireUkraine orconflict peaceon agreementthe betweenfirst Russiaday of his presidency. When he assumes power on Jan. 20, while he's packing his prospective cabinet with MAGA loyalists and Ukrainesurrounding byhimself Januarywith 2026radicals who parrot Russian talking points, accordinghe'll tosupport thea Metaculusbad predictiondeal communityfor Ukraine, one that includes Ukraine ceding its territory and rewarding Putin's aggression.



Metaculus Prediction





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