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If Re-elected, Will Trump End the War in Ukraine?

Addressing the nearly three-year-old Russia-Ukraine war in his first major speech since winning the election on Nov. 5, US Pres.-elect Donald Trump told an audience in Palm Beach, Florida, that "It's gotta stop."

The black-tie gala at Mar-a-Lago on Thursday evening, held alongside the America First Policy Institute, included lighter moments — including a quip about the recurring presence of Elon Musk. "You know, he likes this place. I can't get him out of here," Trump said.

Trump also addressed the reality that Republicans swept the White House, the House of Representatives and the Senate. "In my first term, they said 'he won the election,' but they always followed by 'he didn’t win the popular vote,'" Trump said. "Nobody can say that anymore about us."

However, the president-elect turned to real-world problems as well. "We're going to work very hard on Russia and Ukraine. It's gotta stop. Russia and Ukraine's gotta stop." Lamenting those killed in the conflict, Trump said: "Whether they’re soldiers or they're people sitting in towns, we’re going to work it."

Trump's remarks follow a Washington Post report earlier in the week that Ukraine's European allies have quietly been discussing the once taboo subject of negotiations with Russia, including the possibility that Ukraine may have to accept territorial losses in exchange for future security — though any such deal is far from being agreed.

Verity

On the ground, according to Thursday's analysis from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), Russian forces made confirmed advances into the Kharkiv city of Kupiansk. Earlier in the day, Ukraine's armed forces denied Russian advances into the city.

Understandingwar

Ukrainska Pravda

Elsewhere, in Russia's Kursk region, following reports that the country had amassed some 50K troops, including at least 10K North Korean soldiers, for an offensive in the region, ISW reported that over the past day, Russian forces advanced to the north and west of Ukraine's main salient of attack.

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Addressing the nearly three-year-old Russia-Ukraine war in his first major speech since winning the election on Nov. 5, Pres.-elect Donald Trump told an audience in Palm Beach, Florida, that "It's gotta stop."

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While Trump's words typically draw ire from establishment figures, his remarks follow a Washington Post report earlier in the week that Ukraine's European allies have quietly been discussing the once taboo subject of negotiations with Russia, including the possibility that Ukraine may have to accept territorial losses in exchange for future security — though any such deal is far from being agreed.

Verity #

Understandingwar #

Ukrainska Pravda #

Elsewhere, in Russia's Kursk region, following reports that the country had amassed some 50K troops, including at least 10K North Korean soldiers, for an offensive in the region, ISW reported that over the past day, Russian forces advanced to the north and west of Ukraine's main salient of attack. ISW further reported that Russia advanced near Chasiv Yar in the Donetsk region and near the Donetsk-Zaporizhzhia border.

In the election campaign, Trump constantly bragged that he would resolve the Russia-Ukraine on the first day of his presidency. When he assumes power on Jan. 20, while he's packing his prospective cabinet with MAGA loyalists and surrounding himself with radicals who parrot Russian talking points, he'll support a bad-deal for Ukraine, one that includes Ukraine ceding its territory and rewarding Putin's aggression.

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Trump’s Peace Plan for Ukraine Looks Like Putin’s Victory

Despite all the hyperbole about how bad Trump would be for Ukraine, if he does somehow manage to pull off a peace deal — which he'll not get the credit for — he will have settled a draining, nearly three-year conflict which has no shortages in the amount of soldiers and civilians killed for both sides. It may not be best deal for Ukraine, but its the reality it has to accept after being lied to by Democrats with slogans like "as long as it takes."

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Trump threatens to be good for Ukraine, actually

There's a 50% chance there will be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine by Jan. 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

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End of Ukraine conflict

The Russia-Ukraine War

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Trump on Russia-Ukraine War: 'It's Gotta Stop'

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Despite all the hyperbole about how bad Trump would be for Ukraine, if he does somehow manage to pull off a peace deal — which he'll not get the credit for — he will have settled a draining, nearly three-year conflict that has no shortages in the amount of soldiers and civilians killed on both sides. It may not be best deal for Ukraine, but its the reality it has to accept after being lied to by Democrats with slogans like "as long as it takes."

There's a 50% chance there will be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine by January 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Trump on Russia-Ukraine War: 'It's Gotta Stop'

Trump on Russia-Ukraine War: 'It's Gotta Stop'

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Trump on Russia-Ukraine War: 'It's Gotta Stop'

Trump on Russia-Ukraine War: 'It's Gotta Stop'

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