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Snapshot 15:Fri, Nov 15, 2024 10:04:45 PM GMT last edited by Eric

Brazil: Bomber Dies in Alleged Attack on Supreme Court

Brazil: Bomber Dies in Alleged Attack on Supreme Court

Above: Police guard the crime scene where a man died after an explosion in front of Brazil's Supreme Federal Court in Brasilia, Brazil, on Nov. 13, 2024. Image copyright: Evaristo Sa/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

ThisAnother incidentday, targetinganother theright-wing Supremeterrorist Courtattack wasagainst mostdemocratic likelyinstitutions ain lone-wolfBrazil. attackIt's carriedlong outpast bytime anto individualrealize withthat nopolitical clearpacification connectionscan toonly thethrive rightwith wing.zero Andtolerance unsurprisingly,for Justiceextremists Alexandretrying deto Moraestear hasdown alreadydemocracy weaponized itincluding againstthose Bolsonaroinvolved andin histhe supporterscoup acts of Jan. 8, 2023.

There'sThis incident targeting the Supreme Court was most likely a 40%lone-wolf chanceattack thatcarried Alexandreout deby Moraesan ceaseindividual towith beno aclear ministerconnections ofto the Supremeright Federalwing. CourtAnd ofunsurprisingly, BrazilJustice beforeAlexandre 2026,de accordingMoraes tohas thealready Metaculusweaponized predictionit communityagainst Bolsonaro and his supporters.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 40% chance that Alexandre de Moraes cease to be a minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil before 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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