Trump Announces National Security, Foreign Policy Cabinet Picks

Trump selectsAnnounces MikeNational WaltzSecurity, asForeign nationalPolicy securityCabinet adviser; expected to tap US Senator Marco Rubio for secretary of statePicks

Published NOV 12 2024

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Above: South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem speaks before former US President and Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump attends during a town hall at the Greater Philadelphia Expo Center and Fairgrounds in Oaks, Pennsylvania, on October 14, 2024. Image copyright: Jim Watson/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

Americans voted for Trump because they want their country to be strong at home and abroad, and Trump is acknowledging that madate. With Rubio and Waltz protecting the US against China, and Stephen Miller and Tom Homan cracking down on Biden's open border, the country can finally feel safe. Trump is putting America first across the board.

American Thinker

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The New York Times Huffington Post

If thereanyone isexpected anTrump Americanto AUMFkeep orwar declarationhawks ofand warneocons againstout Iranof beforehis 2030new government, therethey iswould abe 20%disappointed. chanceWith theMike USWaltz willas controlhis Tehrannational withinsecurity oneadvisor, yearMarco Rubio as secretary of state, accordingand Elise Stefanik as UN Ambassador, Americans can expect the conflicts in the Middle East to continue over the Metaculusnext predictionfour communityyears.

Responsible Statecraft

Metaculus Prediction

If there is an American AUMF or declaration of war against Iran before 2030, there is a 20% chance the US will control Tehran within one year, according to the Metaculus prediction community.