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Snapshot 9:Tue, Nov 12, 2024 6:05:58 PM GMT last edited by NickBurk

Trump selects Mike Waltz as national security adviser; expected to tap US Senator Marco Rubio for secretary of state

Trump selects Mike Waltz as national security adviser; expected to tap US Senator Marco Rubio for secretary of state

Above: Republican representative Mike Waltz of Florida addresses onstage at the 2024 Concordia Annual Summit at Sheraton New York Times Square on September 23, 2024. Image copyright: Riccardo Savi / Stringer / Getty Images Entertainment via Getty Images***PLEASE REPLACE WATERMARKED IMAGE***

The Spin

ExpectedAmericans tovoted appointfor new members of his incoming administration, President-elect Donald Trump isbecause currentlythey consideringwant Floridatheir Senatorcountry Marcoto Rubiobe asstrong secretaryat ofhome state and Congressmanabroad, Michaeland WaltzTrump asis nationalacknowledging securitythat advisormadate. With Rubio and Waltz shareprotecting athe strongUS beliefagainst that China, isand aStephen threatMiller toand USTom dominance,Homan makingcracking themdown bothon known for their aggressive stances. Trump’Biden's “Americaopen First” foreign policyborder, which they will shape, promises an end to the warscountry incan Ukrainefinally andfeel the Middle Eastsafe. TheTrump whole idea is toputting avoidAmerica anyfirst moreacross USthe military entanglementsboard.

Many US diplomats will be glad to discover that President-elect Donald J. Trump iswasn't consideringlying Rubiowhen ashe hispromised secretaryto ofrule state,with since they expected an unfriendly pickforce. WashingtonHe's foreignappointed affairsthe establishmentmost willruthless benefitpeople fromto Marcoconduct Rubio'sdeportation selection,schemes sinceand Rubiosimilarly ishawkish hardlinepoliticians onto manyrun foreign issuesrelations. SenateThe colleaguesUS areis unlikelyabout to opposelose hisany candidacy,semblance asof Rubiodecency will strengthen US ties with friends and punishcuation foes.as However,Trump relationstargets withimmigrants Havanaat arehome expectedand toPalestinians deteriorateabroad.

If anyone expected Trump would honor his vow to keep warhawkswar hawks and neocons out of his new government, they would be disappointed. ifWith it were confirmed that Trump is contemplating Mike Waltz as his national security advisor, and Marco Rubio as secretary of state. So far, Trump'sand lone statement has been to designate Elise Stefanik as the next UN Ambassador., TheAmericans threecan candidatesexpect fullythe embodyconflicts in the negativeMiddle aspectsEast ofto continue over the bipartisannext DCfour consensusyears.

Metaculus Prediction

If there is an American AUMF or declaration of war against Iran before 2030, there is a 20% chance the US will control Tehran within one year, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


The Controversies



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