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Snapshot 10:Tue, Nov 12, 2024 5:43:32 PM GMT last edited by NickBurk

Trump selects Mike Waltz as national security adviser; expected to tap US Senator Marco Rubio for secretary of state

Trump selects Mike Waltz as national security adviser; expected to tap US Senator Marco Rubio for secretary of state

Above: Republican representative Mike Waltz of Florida addresses onstage at the 2024 Concordia Annual Summit at Sheraton New York Times Square on September 23, 2024. Image copyright: Riccardo Savi / Stringer / Getty Images Entertainment via Getty Images***PLEASE REPLACE WATERMARKED IMAGE***

The Spin

IfAmericans anyonevoted expectedfor Trump wouldbecause honorthey hiswant vowtheir country to keepbe warhawksstrong andat neoconshome outand of his new governmentabroad, theyand wouldTrump beis disappointedacknowledging if it were confirmed that Trumpmadate. isWith contemplatingRubio Mikeand Waltz asprotecting histhe nationalUS securityagainst advisorChina, and MarcoStephen RubioMiller asand secretaryTom ofHoman state.cracking Sodown far,on TrumpBiden's loneopen statementborder, hasthe beencountry tocan designatefinally Elisefeel Stefanik as the next UN Ambassadorsafe. TheTrump threeis candidatesputting fullyAmerica embodyfirst theacross negative aspects of the bipartisan DC consensusboard.

If thereanyone isexpected anTrump Americanwould AUMFhonor orhis declarationvow ofto warkeep againstwarhawks Iranand beforeneocons 2030out of his new government, therethey would be disappointed if it were confirmed that Trump is acontemplating 20%Mike chanceWaltz theas UShis willnational controlsecurity Tehranadvisor withinand oneMarco yearRubio as secretary of state. So far, accordingTrump's lone statement has been to designate Elise Stefanik as the Metaculusnext predictionUN communityAmbassador. The three candidates fully embody the negative aspects of the bipartisan DC consensus.

Metaculus Prediction

If there is an American AUMF or declaration of war against Iran before 2030, there is a 20% chance the US will control Tehran within one year, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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All rights reserved.

Version 6.17.0