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Snapshot 9:Tue, Nov 12, 2024 7:04:12 PM GMT last edited by Eric

Ishiba Re-Elected as Japan's Prime Minister

Ishiba Re-Elected as Japan's Prime Minister

Above: Japan Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba speaks during a news conference at the prime minister's official residence on Nov. 11, 2024 in Tokyo, Japan. Image copyright: Kiyoshi Ota/Pool/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

While the ruling coalition failed to secure a majority in the lower house in the snap general election last month, it's only natural that Ishiba stays as prime minister given that his political party remains the largest in the country. In fact, while his approval ratings are low, polls show most people believe Ishiba must remain in office.

That Ishiba won the parliamentary vote to stay prime minister doesn't change the fact that Japanese voters have left him and his ruling coalition without a clear mandate to govern the country. Once he's able to pass the budget bills, Ishiba must resign and allow the Liberal Democratic Party to choose another leader.

There'sWhile the ruling coalition failed to secure a 50%majority chancein thatthe lower house in the LDPsnap willgeneral loseelection itslast statusmonth, it's only natural that Ishiba stays as prime minister given that his political party remains the largest party in the Housecountry. ofIn Representativesfact, ofwhile Japanhis byapproval Julyratings 2041are low, accordingpolls toshow themost Metaculuspeople predictionbelieve communityIshiba must remain in office.

That Ishiba won the parliamentary vote to stay prime minister doesn't change the fact that Japanese voters have left him and his ruling coalition without a clear mandate to govern the country. Once he's able to pass the budget bills, Ishiba must resign and allow the Liberal Democratic Party to choose another leader.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 50% chance that the LDP will lose its status as the largest party in the House of Representatives of Japan by July 2041, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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