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Snapshot 7:Mon, Nov 11, 2024 9:43:58 PM GMT last edited by MattKalman

Ishiba Re-Elected as Japan's Prime Minister

Japan's Ishiba Re-Elected as Japan's Prime Minister Despite Lost Majority

Image copyright: Kiyoshi Ota/Pool/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

While the ruling coalition failed to secure a majority in the lower house in the snap general election last month, it's only natural that Ishiba stays as prime minister given that thehis grouppolitical heparty leads remains the largest onein the country. In fact, evenwhile if his approval ratings are low, polls show most people believe heIshiba must remain in office.

BThat Ishiba won the parliamentary vote to stay prime minister doesn't change the fact that Japanese voters have left him and his ruling coalition without a clear mandate to govern the country. Once he's able to pass the budget bills, Ishiba must resign and allow the Liberal Democratic Party to choose another leader.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 50% chance that the LDP will lose its status as largest party in the House of Representatives of Japan by July 15, 2041, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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